TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13131133
Played Sep 15Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.72
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118119––––
Kamil Klocek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
116118119––––
H2H Rafal Stapor 22–15 Kamil Klocek Kamil Klocek has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-15 in 37
Stapor
Correct
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1426 vs Klocek 1337
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Klocek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 40% vs Klocek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Klocek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.72 / Klocek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Stapor)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13131133
Stapor1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 386 of 614
Up 2–0, closes it96% 192 of 200
Up 1–0, closes it81% 292 of 361
Klocek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 102 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor7wins
AwayKlocek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor87.5%7 of 8
AwayKlocekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor8Klocek2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S2Stapor6Klocek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S3Stapor6Klocek4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor4Klocek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporKlocekS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.4+4.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporKlocekBasisWin rate · lifetime662 / 1172 vs 454 / 86656.5%52.4%662 / 1172 vs 454 / 866Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.72/Klocek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 07:20R. Stapor331111113K. Klocek236890
WSep 3 · 04:55R. Stapor3911125113K. Klocek336101161
WAug 26 · 11:00R. Stapor4011711113K. Klocek35911781
WAug 11 · 04:55R. Stapor44117132113K. Klocek50911111182
WJul 30 · 06:50R. Stapor4511711163K. Klocek353117141
WJul 29 · 07:15R. Stapor331111113K. Klocek134360
LJul 22 · 08:05R. Stapor48119117102K. Klocek42311511123
WJul 22 · 05:35R. Stapor4211119113K. Klocek29771141
LJun 26 · 24:10R. Stapor32512871K. Klocek43111011113
LJun 25 · 21:45R. Stapor29611481K. Klocek4111811113
R. Stapor10
LSep 15 · 06:05A. Sobel1.5411711113R. Stapor2.25611391WSep 15 · 04:55J. Glanowski1.678350R. Stapor2.001111113LSep 15 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.65111011113R. Stapor1.38912641WSep 14 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2.4061070R. Stapor1.501112113LSep 14 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn1.85161187113R. Stapor1.80142111182LSep 14 · 06:05R. Stapor1.6091181162J. Przewlocki2.15118116113LSep 14 · 04:30R. Stapor2.201041191B. Czerwinski1.5712118113WSep 14 · 03:50F. Krcil2.415111171R. Stapor1.4611813113WSep 14 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.30146771R. Stapor1.52121111113LSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113
K. Klocek10
WSep 15 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.056920K. Klocek1.651111113LSep 15 · 04:30A. Sobel1.361181011123K. Klocek2.75611124102WSep 15 · 03:00W. Iwasyszyn2.054660K. Klocek1.681111113LSep 11 · 24:10J. Rolak2.35411911113K. Klocek1.5311211362LSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:55K. Klocek1.426930K. Golaszewski2.551111113LSep 10 · 21:05K. Klocek1.41521181M. Lukaszewski2.5511113113LSep 10 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.65712119133K. Klocek1.391110711112WSep 10 · 19:20J. Rolak2.5011813982K. Klocek1.433111111113LSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291
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