TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126267
Played Sep 14Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118811116611
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911118811116611
H2H Rafal Stapor 5–4 Jacek Przewlocki Jacek Przewlocki has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1429 vs Przewlocki 1281
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 60% vs Przewlocki 20%
Stapor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 50% vs Przewlocki 30%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor -1 · Przewlocki -3
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.60 / Przewlocki 2.15
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Stapor)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13126267
Stapor1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 389 of 616
Up 2–0, closes it96% 194 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it81% 295 of 365
Przewlocki2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back20% 21 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
6 of 9 to a deciderStapor leads 5–4, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor75%3 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Przewlocki5n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S2Stapor7Przewlocki2n = 9Stapor took 7 of 9
S3Stapor5Przewlocki4n = 9Stapor took 5 of 9
S4Stapor3Przewlocki5n = 8Przewlocki took 5 of 8
S5Stapor3Przewlocki3n = 6split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricStaporPrzewlockiS − PBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match44.741.7+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime659 / 1166 vs 528 / 107456.5%49.2%659 / 1166 vs 528 / 1074Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.60/Przewlocki 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 14 · 06:05R. Stapor4591181162J. Przewlocki47118116113
WAug 27 · 11:25R. Stapor51111199113J. Przewlocki4169111142
WJul 19 · 09:20R. Stapor331111113J. Przewlocki246990
LApr 29 · 13:00R. Stapor4151111952J. Przewlocki48119611113
LMar 9 · 10:45R. Stapor48119117102J. Przewlocki47711611123
WMar 9 · 07:15R. Stapor4291111113J. Przewlocki34118691
LFeb 28 · 13:15R. Stapor37911981J. Przewlocki4211911113
WFeb 16 · 14:25R. Stapor521171211113J. Przewlocki4481114742
WFeb 13 · 12:45R. Stapor536111213113J. Przewlocki48117101552
R. Stapor10
LSep 14 · 04:30R. Stapor2.201041191B. Czerwinski1.5712118113WSep 14 · 03:50F. Krcil2.415111171R. Stapor1.4611813113WSep 14 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.30146771R. Stapor1.52121111113LSep 13 · 23:45R. Stapor1.9048111162A. Linek1.75111159113WSep 13 · 22:55R. Stapor1.9711311113K. Rudomina1.69611761WSep 13 · 21:05R. Stapor1.311111113K. Marchlewski2.954880WSep 13 · 20:05K. Rudomina1.74741171R. Stapor1.9011116113LSep 13 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.4591111113R. Stapor1.47117481LSep 13 · 17:20J. Glanowski1.7511129113R. Stapor1.909101121LSep 13 · 16:35A. Wos1.45891111113R. Stapor2.5511119582
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 14 · 04:55F. Krcil1.881191113113J. Przewlocki1.8271151592LSep 14 · 03:25B. Wisniewski1.751151011113J. Przewlocki1.9041112552LSep 12 · 14:20J. Przewlocki2.461115861P. Maruszak1.4451711113WSep 12 · 12:40J. Rolak2.05711115102J. Przewlocki1.68118911123LSep 12 · 11:50I. Dabrowski1.5591111113J. Przewlocki2.25116991LSep 12 · 11:00J. Przewlocki2.6558100J. Glanowski1.401111123WSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452LSep 12 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.7212129482J. Rolak2.0010101111113LSep 12 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.651110681J. Glanowski1.4081211113WSep 12 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.1511911113I. Dabrowski1.60511681
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
J. Przewlocki
Sep 14 · 07:20J. Przewlocki3.35B. Czerwinski1.23—Sep 14 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.76W. Iwasyszyn1.88—Sep 14 · 09:50J. Przewlocki4.25J. Witkowski1.16—Sep 14 · 11:00J. Przewlocki2.80J. Glanowski1.35—Sep 14 · 11:50J. Przewlocki3.00A. Sobel1.30—Sep 14 · 12:40J. Przewlocki1.76W. Iwasyszyn1.88—Sep 14 · 14:20J. Przewlocki1.87F. Krcil1.83—
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