TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119149
Played Sep 12Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111181195111012
Jacek Przewlocki
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
7111181195111012
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 11–15 Jacek Przewlocki Jaroslaw Rolak has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Rolak beat Przewlocki 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Przewlocki
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1257 vs Przewlocki 1281
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 40% vs Przewlocki 20%
Rolak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 40% vs Przewlocki 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +1 · Przewlocki -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 2.05 / Przewlocki 1.68
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Przewlocki)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119149
Rolak2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 191 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 122
Przewlocki1.68
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 136 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it97% 59 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it74% 100 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRolak5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak50%2 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Rolak6Przewlocki4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S3Rolak6Przewlocki4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S4Rolak6Przewlocki4n = 10Rolak took 6 of 10
S5Rolak2Przewlocki4n = 6Przewlocki took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRolakPrzewlockiR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.142.6+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime657 / 1441 vs 530 / 107945.6%49.1%657 / 1441 vs 530 / 1079Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiRolak 2.05/Przewlocki 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 08:35J. Rolak5310101111113J. Przewlocki4512129482
WAug 22 · 11:25J. Rolak4111118113J. Przewlocki34951191
LAug 22 · 04:55J. Rolak4311811492J. Przewlocki44411711113
LAug 20 · 22:35J. Rolak4671112792J. Przewlocki501171011113
LAug 20 · 20:30J. Rolak4889111192J. Przewlocki48111169113
LAug 1 · 13:55J. Rolak36414991J. Przewlocki45111211113
WAug 1 · 08:35J. Rolak4071111113J. Przewlocki33118681
LJul 28 · 22:35J. Rolak50111112882J. Przewlocki527131011113
WJul 28 · 20:30J. Rolak539111111113J. Przewlocki4911713992
WJul 24 · 01:00J. Rolak4111118113J. Przewlocki26551151
J. Rolak10
WSep 12 · 11:25J. Rolak2.7511811163P. Maruszak1.404117141LSep 12 · 10:10I. Dabrowski1.50101111153J. Rolak2.401288131LSep 12 · 09:25J. Rolak3.15913151J. Glanowski1.28111111113WSep 12 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.7212129482J. Rolak2.0010101111113LSep 12 · 07:20J. Rolak1.9112811111B. Wisniewski1.7314115133LSep 12 · 06:05J. Glanowski1.301111113J. Rolak3.005690WSep 12 · 04:55I. Dabrowski1.3791011121J. Rolak2.7011127143LSep 12 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.86581111123J. Rolak1.83111178102WSep 11 · 24:10J. Rolak2.35411911113K. Klocek1.5311211362LSep 10 · 23:20J. Rolak1.80711991M. Lukaszewski1.8511511113
J. Przewlocki10
LSep 12 · 11:50I. Dabrowski1.5591111113J. Przewlocki2.25116991LSep 12 · 11:00J. Przewlocki2.6558100J. Glanowski1.401111123WSep 12 · 09:50J. Przewlocki1.6211111511113K. Marchlewski2.1561317452LSep 12 · 08:35J. Przewlocki1.7212129482J. Rolak2.0010101111113LSep 12 · 06:55J. Przewlocki2.651110681J. Glanowski1.4081211113WSep 12 · 05:40J. Przewlocki2.1511911113I. Dabrowski1.60511681LSep 12 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.661511891D. Poloszczanski2.0117711113WSep 12 · 03:00J. Przewlocki1.74911159113B. Wisniewski1.95116131192LSep 8 · 24:35K. Golaszewski1.931151111113J. Przewlocki1.7861113982WSep 7 · 22:55B. Mrugala2.234111181J. Przewlocki1.5311137113
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