TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13132828
Played Sep 15Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117911112––
Jakub Zochniak
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
119117911112––
H2H Artur Sobel 34–35 Jakub Zochniak Artur Sobel has won 34 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Zochniak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-35 in 69
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1567 vs Zochniak 1613
Zochniak
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Zochniak 80%
Zochniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 70% vs Zochniak 50%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Zochniak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zochniak) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.95 / Zochniak 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zochniak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13132828
Sobel1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Zochniak1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 302 of 459
Up 2–0, closes it94% 142 of 151
Up 1–0, closes it77% 224 of 291
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel4wins
AwayZochniak6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel33.3%1 of 3
AwayZochniak57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel3Zochniak7n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S2Sobel7Zochniak3n = 10Sobel took 7 of 10
S3Sobel3Zochniak7n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S4Sobel6Zochniak4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S5Sobel3Zochniak4n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelZochniakS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match46.449.1−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime641 / 1190 vs 1158 / 221253.9%52.4%641 / 1190 vs 1158 / 2212Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakSobel 1.95/Zochniak 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:40A. Sobel48711811112J. Zochniak53119119133
WSep 1 · 07:15A. Sobel541212711123J. Zochniak521410117102
LAug 31 · 05:35A. Sobel4211813101J. Zochniak4791115123
LAug 25 · 03:00A. Sobel30661171J. Zochniak4211119113
LAug 18 · 03:40A. Sobel549111014102J. Zochniak551181212123
WAug 11 · 10:35A. Sobel47313911113J. Zochniak48111111782
WAug 11 · 04:50A. Sobel43111011113J. Zochniak39912991
LAug 10 · 10:35A. Sobel48111356132J. Zochniak579111111153
WAug 4 · 09:50A. Sobel471011123113J. Zochniak46126101172
LJun 30 · 11:00A. Sobel51911911112J. Zochniak52118119133
A. Sobel10
WSep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel2.00111011113J. Witkowski1.73912761LSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2.0099110B. Czerwinski1.711111133WSep 15 · 10:10A. Sobel1.3211911113W. Iwasyszyn3.10211761LSep 15 · 09:00A. Sobel1.68121111872K. Rudomina2.051013311113WSep 15 · 07:40B. Wisniewski3.5061111352A. Sobel1.23117411113WSep 15 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn3.308650A. Sobel1.301111113WSep 15 · 06:05A. Sobel1.5411711113R. Stapor2.25611391WSep 15 · 04:30A. Sobel1.361181011123K. Klocek2.75611124102WSep 15 · 03:50J. Glanowski2.00811961A. Sobel1.7011911113LSep 14 · 14:40A. Sobel1.758117121J. Glanowski1.9511811143
J. Zochniak10
LSep 16 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.50771261M. Rutkowski1.50111110113WSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda1.7376100J. Zochniak2.001111123WSep 16 · 14:40A. Szoltysek3.6598100J. Zochniak1.211111123WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990WSep 16 · 12:15A. Myszewski3.2589120J. Zochniak1.261111143WSep 16 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9110111014112J. Zochniak1.801291212133LSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 15 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.657101191J. Zochniak1.2111124113WSep 15 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.05112811163J. Witkowski1.66711117142WSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381
Upcoming Matches
A. Sobel
Nothing scheduled
J. Zochniak
Sep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.25M. Kolek1.57—Sep 16 · 18:50J. Zochniak1.83D. Solilo1.83—Sep 16 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.67B. Sulkowski2.10—Sep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak—R. Stapor——Sep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak—D. Kosmal——Sep 17 · 11:50J. Zochniak—F. Krcil——Sep 17 · 12:40J. Zochniak—W. Suchecki——Sep 17 · 14:20J. Zochniak—M. Minda——
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