TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130194
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Glanowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119911611––
Artur Sobel
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
811119911611––
H2H Jakub Glanowski 37–38 Artur Sobel Jakub Glanowski has won 37 of their 75 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 13h before this match
Glanowski beat Sobel 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:31What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-38 in 75
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1515 vs Sobel 1565
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 100% vs Sobel 80%
Glanowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 90% vs Sobel 50%
Glanowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +5 · Sobel -1
Glanowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.00 / Sobel 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sobel)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13130194
Glanowski2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 134 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back20% 35 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Sobel1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 166 of 288
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it77% 116 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski6wins
AwaySobel4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski75%6 of 8
AwaySobeln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski8Sobel2n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S2Glanowski2Sobel8n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S3Glanowski5Sobel5n = 10split evenly
S4Glanowski4Sobel5n = 9Sobel took 5 of 9
S5Glanowski4Sobel2n = 6Glanowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiSobelG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.345.1+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime899 / 1808 vs 639 / 119049.7%53.7%899 / 1808 vs 639 / 1190Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelGlanowski 2.00/Sobel 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 14:40J. Glanowski4411811143A. Sobel388117121
LSep 8 · 13:55J. Glanowski50118911112A. Sobel51811118133
WAug 24 · 08:10J. Glanowski551481111113A. Sobel52121113882
LAug 11 · 11:25J. Glanowski30101190A. Sobel361213113
WAug 11 · 08:05J. Glanowski3911611113A. Sobel36811891
WAug 10 · 09:50J. Glanowski511113115113A. Sobel4971571192
WJul 20 · 13:55J. Glanowski46111473113A. Sobel46712111152
LJun 30 · 06:30J. Glanowski4581111692A. Sobel48118711113
WJun 30 · 04:10J. Glanowski6014101114113A. Sobel55121271682
LJun 1 · 01:05J. Glanowski33115891A. Sobel4071111113
J. Glanowski10
WSep 14 · 14:40A. Sobel1.758117121J. Glanowski1.9511811143WSep 14 · 13:30J. Glanowski1.4091111113F. Krcil2.70118771WSep 14 · 12:15J. Witkowski1.6111571182J. Glanowski2.15911115113WSep 14 · 11:00J. Przewlocki2.80810110J. Glanowski1.351112133WSep 14 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn2.658650J. Glanowski1.431111113LSep 13 · 19:40J. Glanowski2.32911791A. Wos1.5011911113WSep 13 · 18:30J. Glanowski1.80941111113K. Rudomina1.9011116652WSep 13 · 17:20J. Glanowski1.7511129113R. Stapor1.909101121WSep 13 · 16:15K. Marchlewski3.5581181372J. Glanowski1.221131111113WSep 13 · 15:25J. Glanowski1.4191111113D. Kotwica2.55116581
A. Sobel10
WSep 15 · 04:30A. Sobel1.361181011123K. Klocek2.75611124102LSep 14 · 14:40A. Sobel1.758117121J. Glanowski1.9511811143WSep 14 · 13:05A. Sobel2.108111111113J. Witkowski1.6611881342WSep 14 · 11:50A. Sobel1.3011113113J. Przewlocki3.00661151WSep 14 · 10:10A. Sobel1.2911911113W. Iwasyszyn3.10811641WSep 14 · 09:00A. Sobel1.301111113F. Krcil3.055960LSep 14 · 07:40A. Sobel2.75711471M. Malachowski1.3711911113LSep 14 · 06:25A. Sobel2.70261191L. Jarocki1.4111118113LSep 14 · 05:15A. Sobel3.709590J. Kuzmicz1.221111113WSep 14 · 04:00K. Wisniewski1.804111291A. Sobel1.8511714113
Upcoming Matches
J. Glanowski
A. Sobel
Sep 15 · 06:05A. Sobel1.54R. Stapor2.25—Sep 15 · 06:55A. Sobel1.26W. Iwasyszyn3.25—Sep 15 · 07:40A. Sobel1.23B. Wisniewski3.50—Sep 15 · 09:00A. Sobel1.55K. Rudomina2.19—Sep 15 · 10:10A. Sobel1.28W. Iwasyszyn3.10—Sep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel1.98B. Czerwinski1.68—Sep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel2.03J. Zochniak1.64—Sep 15 · 14:40A. Sobel—J. Witkowski——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.