TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138113
Played Sep 16Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8119111214––––
Jakub Zochniak
Away
1.26
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111214––––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 10–14 Jakub Zochniak Adrian Myszewski has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (72%)
Zochniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Zochniak
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1312 vs Zochniak 1596
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 284 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 40% vs Zochniak 60%
Zochniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 60% vs Zochniak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -1 · Zochniak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Zochniak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 3.25 / Zochniak 1.26
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Zochniak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13138113
Myszewski3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 56 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Zochniak1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 300 of 459
Up 2–0, closes it94% 140 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it77% 222 of 289
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski4wins
AwayZochniak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski100%3 of 3
AwayZochniak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski3Zochniak7n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S2Myszewski5Zochniak5n = 10split evenly
S3Myszewski2Zochniak8n = 10Zochniak took 8 of 10
S4Myszewski3Zochniak4n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
S5Myszewski3Zochniak1n = 4Myszewski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiZochniakM − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.0−2.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 920 vs 1154 / 220749.2%52.3%453 / 920 vs 1154 / 2207Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakMyszewski 3.25/Zochniak 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 28 · 03:25A. Myszewski376119111J. Zochniak4111611133
WMay 27 · 12:15A. Myszewski49711911113J. Zochniak3711611362
LMay 27 · 04:55A. Myszewski1921160J. Zochniak351113113
LMar 18 · 13:15A. Myszewski2691160J. Zochniak351113113
WMar 18 · 07:05A. Myszewski4111611133J. Zochniak388118111
WMar 10 · 12:25A. Myszewski48111178113J. Zochniak4699111162
LMar 10 · 06:40A. Myszewski30811471J. Zochniak4111811113
WMar 5 · 04:00A. Myszewski47118116113J. Zochniak4071121192
LMar 4 · 07:55A. Myszewski55911151192J. Zochniak54118177113
LJan 22 · 11:10A. Myszewski249780J. Zochniak331111113
A. Myszewski10
WSep 16 · 13:05A. Szoltysek2.01116391A. Myszewski1.6681111113LSep 16 · 10:35A. Myszewski1.5712124552M. Zwolinski2.2010101111113WSep 16 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.38711119112A. Myszewski2.80118911133LSep 16 · 08:35R. Stapor1.7011611113A. Myszewski2.00811881LSep 16 · 07:20A. Myszewski1.8681181262K. Klocek1.801151110113WSep 16 · 06:05M. Zwolinski2.46916130A. Myszewski1.441118153LSep 16 · 04:55A. Szoltysek2.01811118113A. Myszewski1.6611951172WSep 16 · 03:25J. Glanowski1.8051231152A. Myszewski1.901110117113WSep 15 · 24:35A. Myszewski1.751111113K. Golaszewski1.909790WSep 14 · 23:45P. Ostachowski2.806260A. Myszewski1.371111113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990WSep 16 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9110111014112J. Zochniak1.801291212133LSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 15 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.657101191J. Zochniak1.2111124113LSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121WSep 15 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.05112811163J. Witkowski1.66711117142WSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381LSep 15 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.9011711113J. Zochniak1.76611891WSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381
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