TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138125
Played Sep 16Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101210411511511
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:26 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
12101210411511511
H2H Adrian Myszewski 8–2 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Myszewski beat Zwolinski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Myszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Myszewski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1326 vs Zwolinski 1238
Myszewski
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 40% vs Zwolinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 60% vs Zwolinski 40%
Myszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski +1 · Zwolinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Myszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.57 / Zwolinski 2.20
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Myszewski)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13138125
Myszewski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 56 of 69
Zwolinski2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 42 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski8wins
AwayZwolinski2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMyszewski leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski85.7%6 of 7
AwayZwolinski33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski7Zwolinski3n = 10Myszewski took 7 of 10
S2Myszewski7Zwolinski3n = 10Myszewski took 7 of 10
S3Myszewski7Zwolinski3n = 10Myszewski took 7 of 10
S4Myszewski2Zwolinski4n = 6Zwolinski took 4 of 6
S5Myszewski4Zwolinski1n = 5Myszewski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiZwolinskiM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.635.2+5.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 919 vs 128 / 35549.3%36.1%453 / 919 vs 128 / 355Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiMyszewski 1.57/Zwolinski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.7%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zwolinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 06:05A. Myszewski441118153M. Zwolinski38916130
LJul 29 · 10:10A. Myszewski4112113782M. Zwolinski501071111113
WJul 29 · 05:40A. Myszewski44116115113M. Zwolinski4471191162
WJul 22 · 11:25A. Myszewski521110911113M. Zwolinski4691211862
WJul 22 · 06:55A. Myszewski47591111113M. Zwolinski4211114792
LJul 22 · 04:30A. Myszewski355111091M. Zwolinski3911512113
WApr 25 · 09:50A. Myszewski331111113M. Zwolinski219480
WApr 25 · 03:05A. Myszewski331111113M. Zwolinski174580
WJan 11 · 14:30A. Myszewski44511116113M. Zwolinski3911561162
WJan 11 · 07:30A. Myszewski331111113M. Zwolinski164750
A. Myszewski10
WSep 16 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.38711119112A. Myszewski2.80118911133LSep 16 · 08:35R. Stapor1.7011611113A. Myszewski2.00811881LSep 16 · 07:20A. Myszewski1.8681181262K. Klocek1.801151110113WSep 16 · 06:05M. Zwolinski2.46916130A. Myszewski1.441118153LSep 16 · 04:55A. Szoltysek2.01811118113A. Myszewski1.6611951172WSep 16 · 03:25J. Glanowski1.8051231152A. Myszewski1.901110117113WSep 15 · 24:35A. Myszewski1.751111113K. Golaszewski1.909790WSep 14 · 23:45P. Ostachowski2.806260A. Myszewski1.371111113WSep 14 · 22:35A. Myszewski1.9311311113M. Trela1.77711481LSep 14 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski2.1311118113A. Myszewski1.59771171
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 16 · 09:00A. Szoltysek1.701112118113M. Zwolinski2.0561451192LSep 16 · 07:40J. Glanowski1.351112116113M. Zwolinski2.90610131192WSep 16 · 06:55R. Stapor1.4512811101M. Zwolinski2.5014117123LSep 16 · 06:05M. Zwolinski2.46916130A. Myszewski1.441118153WSep 16 · 04:30M. Zwolinski2.501111113K. Klocek1.465840WSep 16 · 03:50A. Szoltysek1.60891181M. Zwolinski2.1511116113LSep 9 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.6513890J. Krawczyk1.421511113LSep 9 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.909101161M. Minda1.1911129113WSep 9 · 11:25M. Zwolinski2.051141111113A. Szoltysek1.6581113672LSep 9 · 10:10A. Lilien1.27141111133M. Zwolinski3.351679111
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