TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129006
Played Sep 14Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.93
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117311114118––
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.77
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
117311114118––
H2H Adrian Myszewski 10–15 Mateusz Trela Adrian Myszewski has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Myszewski beat Trela 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Trela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-15 in 25
Trela
Wrong
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1307 vs Trela 1325
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 60% vs Trela 40%
Myszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 50% vs Trela 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski -2 · Trela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.93 / Trela 1.77
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Trela)+1.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13129006
Myszewski1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 55 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Trela1.77
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 135 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it72% 87 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski4wins
AwayTrela6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski66.7%4 of 6
AwayTrela100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski6Trela4n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S2Myszewski4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Myszewski2Trela8n = 10Trela took 8 of 10
S4Myszewski4Trela4n = 8split evenly
S5Myszewski2Trela2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiTrelaM − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.8−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 910 vs 819 / 166049.1%49.3%447 / 910 vs 819 / 1660Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaMyszewski 1.93/Trela 1.77
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 16:15A. Myszewski4211119113M. Trela34991151
LSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski4511115992M. Trela50981111113
LSep 9 · 20:30A. Myszewski30851161M. Trela3611113113
LSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski33815100M. Trela401117123
WSep 6 · 20:30A. Myszewski4111118113M. Trela35991161
LAug 14 · 04:10A. Myszewski2510960M. Trela341211113
LAug 9 · 13:25A. Myszewski4711971192M. Trela46811115113
WAug 9 · 03:40A. Myszewski50118119113M. Trela4781191182
LJul 31 · 23:20A. Myszewski4414111091M. Trela4816912113
WJul 31 · 15:25A. Myszewski551212911113M. Trela48101411672
A. Myszewski10
LSep 14 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski2.1311118113A. Myszewski1.59771171LSep 14 · 19:40A. Myszewski1.70813791P. Strus2.00111111113WSep 14 · 18:30A. Myszewski1.49118611123K. Golaszewski2.33711115102WSep 14 · 17:20A. Myszewski1.3713811113P. Ostachowski2.801111561WSep 14 · 16:15M. Trela1.96991151A. Myszewski1.6911119113WSep 14 · 15:25A. Myszewski1.60711711133M. Lukaszewski2.10117115112WSep 10 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.461211123P. Ostachowski2.50109100LSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113LSep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.52116491K. Golaszewski2.3061111113LSep 9 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.8113590K. Klocek1.831511113
M. Trela10
LSep 14 · 22:15M. Trela1.568101141K. Golaszewski2.1711128113WSep 14 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.50612771M. Trela1.24111011113LSep 14 · 20:30M. Trela1.737911111M. Lukaszewski1.9211118133WSep 14 · 18:55M. Trela1.491211113P. Strus2.3310510LSep 14 · 17:45M. Trela1.95811791K. Golaszewski1.7011511113LSep 14 · 16:15M. Trela1.96991151A. Myszewski1.6911119113WSep 14 · 15:00M. Trela1.2511119113P. Ostachowski3.40931151LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113
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