TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125802
Played Sep 14Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111177111151311
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Myszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
7111177111151311
H2H Adrian Myszewski 18–5 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 5 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:32What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Myszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-5 in 23
Myszewski
Correct
gap of 13 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1299 vs Lukaszewski 1354
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 20% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 40% vs Lukaszewski 70%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski +1 · Lukaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Myszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.60 / Lukaszewski 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Myszewski)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13125802
Myszewski1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Lukaszewski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 257 of 633
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 350
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski7wins
AwayLukaszewski3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMyszewski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski85.7%6 of 7
AwayLukaszewski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski7Lukaszewski3n = 10Myszewski took 7 of 10
S2Myszewski4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Myszewski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S4Myszewski6Lukaszewski4n = 10Myszewski took 6 of 10
S5Myszewski3Lukaszewski2n = 5Myszewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiLukaszewskiM − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.538.6+5.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 915 vs 919 / 200649%45.8%448 / 915 vs 919 / 2006Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MyszewskiMyszewski 1.60/Lukaszewski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.6%
Myszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Myszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 13:55A. Myszewski46131111113M. Lukaszewski371113761
LSep 4 · 08:35A. Myszewski531111111192M. Lukaszewski46213713113
WAug 27 · 23:45A. Myszewski4211119113M. Lukaszewski28641171
LAug 17 · 04:55A. Myszewski4587111182M. Lukaszewski45111157113
WAug 3 · 05:15A. Myszewski5311101110113M. Lukaszewski3561211242
WMay 19 · 09:45A. Myszewski3511211113M. Lukaszewski32711861
WMay 5 · 13:25A. Myszewski49711811123M. Lukaszewski44114118102
LFeb 11 · 11:55A. Myszewski371311581M. Lukaszewski4415711113
WFeb 10 · 15:15A. Myszewski4011711113M. Lukaszewski30711661
WJan 13 · 13:35A. Myszewski45111174123M. Lukaszewski45491111102
A. Myszewski10
WSep 14 · 16:15M. Trela1.96991151A. Myszewski1.6911119113WSep 10 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.461211123P. Ostachowski2.50109100LSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113LSep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.52116491K. Golaszewski2.3061111113LSep 9 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.8113590K. Klocek1.831511113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Trela1.8511113113A. Myszewski1.80851161WSep 9 · 19:20A. Myszewski1.5011119123P. Ostachowski2.375511101WSep 9 · 18:10P. Strus2.507850A. Myszewski1.461111113LSep 9 · 16:55K. Klocek1.8011911123A. Myszewski1.857115101WSep 9 · 15:25K. Golaszewski2.37691661A. Myszewski1.52111114113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 13 · 14:20M. Lukaszewski1.851112113P. Staniszewski1.8041080LSep 13 · 12:40M. Sinicki1.75116611113M. Lukaszewski1.9571111682WSep 13 · 11:50B. Wisniewski1.861191071M. Lukaszewski1.8091112113LSep 13 · 11:00M. Lukaszewski1.7411116582M. Piecowski1.91881111113WSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100WSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123LSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271WSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.607121491M. Lukaszewski2.20111016113
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