TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123135
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Sinicki
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611611116118
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
117611611116118
H2H Maciej Sinicki 14–6 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Sinicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Sinicki
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sinicki 1272 vs Lukaszewski 1352
Lukaszewski
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sinicki 40% vs Lukaszewski 60%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sinicki 30% vs Lukaszewski 80%
Lukaszewski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sinicki -1 · Lukaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sinicki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sinicki form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSinicki 1.75 / Lukaszewski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sinicki)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13123135
Sinicki1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Lukaszewski1.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog41% won 257 of 634
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 351
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSinicki7wins
AwayLukaszewski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSinicki leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSinicki100%6 of 6
AwayLukaszewski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sinicki6Lukaszewski4n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S2Sinicki5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Sinicki5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sinicki5Lukaszewski3n = 8Sinicki took 5 of 8
S5Sinicki3Lukaszewski1n = 4Sinicki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSinickiLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.5+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSinickiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 748 vs 918 / 200442.7%45.8%319 / 748 vs 918 / 2004Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiSinicki 1.75/Lukaszewski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sinicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 12:40M. Sinicki45116611113M. Lukaszewski4371111682
WAug 16 · 10:35M. Sinicki331111113M. Lukaszewski204970
WAug 16 · 06:05M. Sinicki3811115113M. Lukaszewski37981191
LAug 9 · 13:05M. Sinicki378117111M. Lukaszewski4011511133
WAug 9 · 06:05M. Sinicki44117114113M. Lukaszewski4481161182
LJul 5 · 10:35M. Sinicki4277111162M. Lukaszewski45111175113
WApr 6 · 10:30M. Sinicki48711127113M. Lukaszewski45116101172
WApr 6 · 05:25M. Sinicki4011711113M. Lukaszewski31611681
LApr 6 · 03:00M. Sinicki2571080M. Lukaszewski341112113
WFeb 2 · 11:30M. Sinicki4111127113M. Lukaszewski368101171
M. Sinicki10
LSep 13 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.9078141192P. Staniszewski1.761111127113WSep 13 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.00581191M. Sinicki1.6611117113LSep 13 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.6391111852M. Piecowski2.06117811113WSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981LSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.70119991M. Piecowski1.9561111113WSep 13 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95881181LSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.66111113792D. Poloszczanski2.051131111113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560LSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 13 · 11:50B. Wisniewski1.861191071M. Lukaszewski1.8091112113LSep 13 · 11:00M. Lukaszewski1.7411116582M. Piecowski1.91881111113WSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100WSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123LSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271WSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.607121491M. Lukaszewski2.20111016113WSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133WSep 11 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.75611491M. Lukaszewski1.9511911113
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