TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122448
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Sinicki
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117118811511
Miroslaw Piecowski
Away
2.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Piecowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911117118811511
H2H Maciej Sinicki 9–6 Miroslaw Piecowski Miroslaw Piecowski has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Piecowski beat Sinicki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Sinicki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Sinicki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sinicki 1255 vs Piecowski 1269
Piecowski
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sinicki 20% vs Piecowski 60%
Piecowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sinicki 30% vs Piecowski 60%
Piecowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sinicki -1 · Piecowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sinicki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Piecowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSinicki 1.63 / Piecowski 2.06
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sinicki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122448
Sinicki1.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Piecowski2.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 102 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSinicki5wins
AwayPiecowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSinicki60%3 of 5
AwayPiecowski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sinicki5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Sinicki6Piecowski4n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S3Sinicki5Piecowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sinicki3Piecowski5n = 8Piecowski took 5 of 8
S5Sinicki3Piecowski2n = 5Sinicki took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSinickiPiecowskiS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.941.3+0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSinickiPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 744 vs 505 / 113742.6%44.4%317 / 744 vs 505 / 1137Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiSinicki 1.63/Piecowski 2.06
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Piecowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki38119991M. Piecowski3961111113
WAug 30 · 12:15M. Sinicki48711118113M. Piecowski4511891162
WJun 14 · 05:15M. Sinicki331111113M. Piecowski187650
LJun 8 · 07:45M. Sinicki351111851M. Piecowski4413911113
WMay 18 · 13:05M. Sinicki5612111011123M. Piecowski541013129102
WMay 18 · 03:25M. Sinicki331111113M. Piecowski247890
LMay 4 · 03:50M. Sinicki4271231372M. Piecowski5411101111113
LApr 20 · 04:55M. Sinicki32117681M. Piecowski4291111113
WMar 23 · 05:10M. Sinicki549111112113M. Piecowski4411751472
LMar 16 · 13:40M. Sinicki48138111152M. Piecowski49151157113
M. Sinicki10
WSep 13 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.00581191M. Sinicki1.6611117113WSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981LSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.70119991M. Piecowski1.9561111113WSep 13 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95881181LSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.66111113792D. Poloszczanski2.051131111113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560LSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101LSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111
M. Piecowski10
LSep 13 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski1.83891111113M. Piecowski1.8111119672WSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.70119991M. Piecowski1.9561111113LSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113WSep 13 · 04:30M. Piecowski2.157111011113P. Staniszewski1.6311912892WSep 13 · 03:50B. Wisniewski1.76591161M. Piecowski1.9011119113LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192LSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371WSep 2 · 21:05M. Piecowski1.9081111113M. Kowalczyk1.75119861WSep 2 · 20:05W. Gluszek2.105750M. Piecowski1.601111113
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