TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122485
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Sinicki
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11111131311711911
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Poloszczanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
11111131311711911
H2H Maciej Sinicki 34–23 Dawid Poloszczanski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 23 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:37What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Sinicki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-23 in 57
Sinicki
Wrong
gap of 11 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sinicki 1266 vs Poloszczanski 1290
Poloszczanski
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sinicki 20% vs Poloszczanski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sinicki 40% vs Poloszczanski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sinicki -4 · Poloszczanski -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sinicki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poloszczanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSinicki 1.66 / Poloszczanski 2.05
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sinicki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122485
Sinicki1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Poloszczanski2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 120 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSinicki4wins
AwayPoloszczanski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPoloszczanski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSinicki20%1 of 5
AwayPoloszczanski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sinicki5Poloszczanski5n = 10split evenly
S2Sinicki5Poloszczanski5n = 10split evenly
S3Sinicki2Poloszczanski8n = 10Poloszczanski took 8 of 10
S4Sinicki5Poloszczanski3n = 8Sinicki took 5 of 8
S5Sinicki2Poloszczanski3n = 5Poloszczanski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSinickiPoloszczanskiS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.6−2.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSinickiPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 742 vs 332 / 83942.7%39.6%317 / 742 vs 332 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiSinicki 1.66/Poloszczanski 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 14:20M. Sinicki4181111113D. Poloszczanski30117391
LAug 1 · 03:50M. Sinicki33117691D. Poloszczanski4181111113
LJun 14 · 12:15M. Sinicki215790D. Poloszczanski331111113
LMay 31 · 12:15M. Sinicki4111118742D. Poloszczanski47861111113
LMay 31 · 04:55M. Sinicki531381111102D. Poloszczanski541111137123
LMay 24 · 03:00M. Sinicki531381011112D. Poloszczanski491111122133
WMay 9 · 14:20M. Sinicki46711134113D. Poloszczanski49119111172
WMay 3 · 11:00M. Sinicki4011115133D. Poloszczanski369511111
WApr 26 · 11:00M. Sinicki50911811113D. Poloszczanski4711811892
LApr 26 · 08:10M. Sinicki2851670D. Poloszczanski401118113
M. Sinicki10
WSep 13 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95881181LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560LSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101LSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111WSep 6 · 09:50F. Jablonski2.80711381M. Sinicki1.3611511113LSep 6 · 08:35T. Piotrowski1.401111113M. Sinicki2.656640LSep 6 · 07:20M. Sinicki1.3388111192B. Wisniewski2.95111198113WSep 6 · 06:05F. Jablonski2.60412431M. Sinicki1.41111011113
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 13 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.9012119113P. Staniszewski1.751021161LSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113LSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113LSep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.71391111113D. Poloszczanski2.0011119892WSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.271111113D. Poloszczanski3.356540WSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101LSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.65101191282I. Dabrowski1.401291110113WSep 12 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.801111113B. Wisniewski1.859680WSep 12 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.661511891D. Poloszczanski2.0117711113
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