TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119479
Played Sep 13Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116119611611811
Adrian Eliasz
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
116119611611811
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 9–23 Adrian Eliasz Dawid Poloszczanski has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Poloszczanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-23 in 32
Eliasz
Correct
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1288 vs Eliasz 1206
Poloszczanski
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 40% vs Eliasz 60%
Eliasz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 60% vs Eliasz 40%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -2 · Eliasz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poloszczanski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poloszczanski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.83 / Eliasz 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Poloszczanski)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13119479
Poloszczanski1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 49 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Eliasz1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski3wins
AwayEliasz7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderEliasz leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayEliasz87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski2Eliasz8n = 10Eliasz took 8 of 10
S2Poloszczanski5Eliasz5n = 10split evenly
S3Poloszczanski3Eliasz7n = 10Eliasz took 7 of 10
S4Poloszczanski5Eliasz2n = 7Poloszczanski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiEliaszP − EBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.439.2−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 838 vs 336 / 90139.5%37.3%331 / 838 vs 336 / 901Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiPoloszczanski 1.83/Eliasz 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 11 · 13:30D. Poloszczanski4611116183A. Eliasz426911161
LJun 21 · 10:10D. Poloszczanski34911591A. Eliasz4111811113
LJun 21 · 05:40D. Poloszczanski196760A. Eliasz331111113
LJun 20 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski4671191182A. Eliasz50119118113
LMay 31 · 11:00D. Poloszczanski268990A. Eliasz331111113
LMay 23 · 09:50D. Poloszczanski381091181A. Eliasz4212118113
WApr 11 · 09:25D. Poloszczanski43101111113A. Eliasz32128481
LApr 4 · 13:05D. Poloszczanski4171171152A. Eliasz49117119113
WFeb 21 · 24:45D. Poloszczanski4312911113A. Eliasz371011971
LFeb 20 · 22:20D. Poloszczanski186660A. Eliasz331111113
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 13 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski1.83891111113M. Piecowski1.8111119672WSep 13 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski1.95124811113B. Wisniewski1.74101111472WSep 13 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.9012119113P. Staniszewski1.751021161WSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.66111113792D. Poloszczanski2.051131111113LSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113LSep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.71391111113D. Poloszczanski2.0011119892WSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.271111113D. Poloszczanski3.356540WSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101LSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.65101191282I. Dabrowski1.401291110113
A. Eliasz10
LSep 13 · 13:55M. Sinicki1.6011811113A. Eliasz2.10811991WSep 13 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.807111261A. Eliasz1.9111814113WSep 13 · 12:15A. Eliasz1.90111179113M. Piecowski1.8078111192LSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100LSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131WSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113LSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280LSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113
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