TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122463
Played Sep 13Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181188111513––
Piotr Staniszewski
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
1181188111513––
H2H Adrian Eliasz 10–8 Piotr Staniszewski Piotr Staniszewski has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Staniszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Eliasz
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1236 vs Staniszewski 1335
Staniszewski
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 60% vs Staniszewski 20%
Eliasz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 60% vs Staniszewski 40%
Eliasz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz +1 · Staniszewski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Staniszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 2.15 / Staniszewski 1.62
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Staniszewski)+3.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122463
Eliasz2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Staniszewski1.62
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 70 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it85% 56 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz4wins
AwayStaniszewski6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStaniszewski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz60%3 of 5
AwayStaniszewski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz5Staniszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Eliasz5Staniszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Eliasz3Staniszewski7n = 10Staniszewski took 7 of 10
S4Eliasz3Staniszewski6n = 9Staniszewski took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszStaniszewskiE − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.5−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 895 vs 401 / 86737.3%46.3%334 / 895 vs 401 / 867Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniszewskiEliasz 2.15/Staniszewski 1.62
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.4%
Staniszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz4511118153P. Staniszewski408811131
LMar 22 · 14:30A. Eliasz4211119111P. Staniszewski4691311133
LMar 22 · 01:15A. Eliasz371151381P. Staniszewski4471115113
LMar 21 · 22:50A. Eliasz38911991P. Staniszewski3811511113
WMar 15 · 15:40A. Eliasz4011117113P. Staniszewski32591171
LMar 13 · 17:45A. Eliasz279990P. Staniszewski331111113
LMar 8 · 01:40A. Eliasz33871171P. Staniszewski3811115113
LMar 7 · 23:15A. Eliasz31691151P. Staniszewski4211119113
WFeb 15 · 10:00A. Eliasz43311117113P. Staniszewski4211781152
WFeb 15 · 09:10A. Eliasz4411119133P. Staniszewski409911111
A. Eliasz10
WSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113LSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280WSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113LSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113WSep 10 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.7215116113K. Golaszewski1.931381191WSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291WSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113LSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113WAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982LAug 30 · 12:40A. Eliasz1.9181311882B. Wisniewski1.781111811113
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 13 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.9012119113P. Staniszewski1.751021161LSep 13 · 04:30M. Piecowski2.157111011113P. Staniszewski1.6311912892WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111LSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113WSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071
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