TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122477
Played Sep 13Finished
Dawid Poloszczanski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210112911116––
Piotr Staniszewski
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:37 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDawid Poloszczanski to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1210112911116––
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 42–36 Piotr Staniszewski Piotr Staniszewski has won 36 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Staniszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-36 in 78
Poloszczanski
Correct
gap of 6 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1275 vs Staniszewski 1367
Staniszewski
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 20% vs Staniszewski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 50% vs Staniszewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -3 · Staniszewski -1
Poloszczanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staniszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 1.90 / Staniszewski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Staniszewski)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13122477
Poloszczanski1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 120 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 104
Staniszewski1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 70 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it85% 56 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoloszczanski6wins
AwayStaniszewski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPoloszczanski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski100%3 of 3
AwayStaniszewski57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski3Staniszewski7n = 10Staniszewski took 7 of 10
S2Poloszczanski4Staniszewski6n = 10Staniszewski took 6 of 10
S3Poloszczanski7Staniszewski3n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S4Poloszczanski4Staniszewski4n = 8split evenly
S5Poloszczanski4Staniszewski1n = 5Poloszczanski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiStaniszewskiP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.740.9+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 838 vs 401 / 86539.5%46.4%331 / 838 vs 401 / 865Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniszewskiPoloszczanski 1.90/Staniszewski 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Staniszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Poloszczanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 08:35D. Poloszczanski341211113P. Staniszewski2410860
LJun 14 · 13:30D. Poloszczanski50121181182P. Staniszewski45145114113
WMay 30 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski511111117113P. Staniszewski4871391182
LMay 30 · 03:00D. Poloszczanski4381311111P. Staniszewski4611157133
WMay 24 · 07:20D. Poloszczanski50119711123P. Staniszewski42511115102
WMay 17 · 13:05D. Poloszczanski501341111113P. Staniszewski4915117882
LMay 17 · 04:55D. Poloszczanski33591181P. Staniszewski4211119113
WMay 9 · 13:30D. Poloszczanski3731111123P. Staniszewski331139101
WMay 9 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski491111115113P. Staniszewski4713771192
LMay 3 · 12:40D. Poloszczanski206860P. Staniszewski331111113
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.66111113792D. Poloszczanski2.051131111113LSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113LSep 13 · 24:35D. Poloszczanski2.8061116572R. Stapor1.341191411113LSep 12 · 23:45D. Kotwica1.71391111113D. Poloszczanski2.0011119892WSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 21:55A. Wos1.271111113D. Poloszczanski3.356540WSep 12 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2.8511117123J. Glanowski1.386811101LSep 12 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski2.65101191282I. Dabrowski1.401291110113WSep 12 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.801111113B. Wisniewski1.859680WSep 12 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.661511891D. Poloszczanski2.0117711113
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 13 · 04:30M. Piecowski2.157111011113P. Staniszewski1.6311912892WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111LSep 6 · 07:40P. Staniszewski1.85119661T. Pisarczyk1.8281111113WSep 6 · 06:25P. Staniszewski2.2551512113D. Wasilewski1.5711131071LSep 6 · 05:15P. Staniszewski5.405970G. Adamiak1.111111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Poloszczanski
P. Staniszewski
Sep 13 · 07:20P. Staniszewski1.54A. Eliasz2.23—Sep 13 · 08:10P. Staniszewski1.63B. Wisniewski2.05—Sep 13 · 09:00P. Staniszewski1.63B. Wisniewski2.05—Sep 13 · 10:35P. Staniszewski1.54A. Eliasz2.23—Sep 13 · 11:25P. Staniszewski1.75M. Sinicki1.89—Sep 13 · 13:30P. Staniszewski1.55M. Piecowski2.19—Sep 13 · 14:20P. Staniszewski—M. Lukaszewski——
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