TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123435
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Sinicki
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811119119––
Adrian Eliasz
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:22 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
118811119119––
H2H Maciej Sinicki 13–11 Adrian Eliasz Adrian Eliasz has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Sinicki beat Eliasz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:22What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Sinicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Sinicki
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sinicki 1285 vs Eliasz 1234
Sinicki
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sinicki 60% vs Eliasz 40%
Sinicki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sinicki 40% vs Eliasz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sinicki +1 · Eliasz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sinicki) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSinicki 1.60 / Eliasz 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sinicki)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13123435
Sinicki1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Eliasz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSinicki6wins
AwayEliasz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSinicki leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSinicki71.4%5 of 7
AwayEliasz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sinicki7Eliasz3n = 10Sinicki took 7 of 10
S2Sinicki6Eliasz4n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S3Sinicki7Eliasz3n = 10Sinicki took 7 of 10
S4Sinicki4Eliasz3n = 7Sinicki took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSinickiEliaszS − EBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.434.0+4.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSinickiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 749 vs 336 / 90042.7%37.3%320 / 749 vs 336 / 900Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiSinicki 1.60/Eliasz 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sinicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki4112711113A. Eliasz381011981
LAug 30 · 13:55M. Sinicki4891111982A. Eliasz49117911113
LMay 31 · 09:50M. Sinicki4511961182A. Eliasz46811115113
LMar 15 · 10:00M. Sinicki32711681A. Eliasz4011711113
WFeb 15 · 14:05M. Sinicki331111113A. Eliasz249690
WFeb 15 · 05:55M. Sinicki4291111113A. Eliasz34118871
LJan 25 · 11:05M. Sinicki3611510101A. Eliasz3831112123
WJan 18 · 12:50M. Sinicki331111113A. Eliasz185670
WOct 26 · 07:30M. Sinicki4111811113A. Eliasz37811991
WOct 19 · 14:20M. Sinicki331111113A. Eliasz165560
M. Sinicki10
WSep 13 · 12:40M. Sinicki1.75116611113M. Lukaszewski1.9571111682LSep 13 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.9078141192P. Staniszewski1.761111127113WSep 13 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.00581191M. Sinicki1.6611117113LSep 13 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.6391111852M. Piecowski2.06117811113WSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981LSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.70119991M. Piecowski1.9561111113WSep 13 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95881181LSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.66111113792D. Poloszczanski2.051131111113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560
A. Eliasz10
WSep 13 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.807111261A. Eliasz1.9111814113WSep 13 · 12:15A. Eliasz1.90111179113M. Piecowski1.8078111192LSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100LSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131WSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113LSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280WSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113LSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113
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