TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122454
Played Sep 13Finished
Maciej Sinicki
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210711119118––
Adrian Eliasz
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1210711119118––
H2H Maciej Sinicki 12–11 Adrian Eliasz Adrian Eliasz has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:35What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Sinicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sinicki 1255 vs Eliasz 1236
Sinicki
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sinicki 20% vs Eliasz 60%
Eliasz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sinicki 30% vs Eliasz 70%
Eliasz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sinicki -1 · Eliasz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sinicki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSinicki 1.60 / Eliasz 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sinicki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13122454
Sinicki1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Eliasz2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSinicki6wins
AwayEliasz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSinicki leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSinicki71.4%5 of 7
AwayEliasz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sinicki7Eliasz3n = 10Sinicki took 7 of 10
S2Sinicki7Eliasz3n = 10Sinicki took 7 of 10
S3Sinicki6Eliasz4n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S4Sinicki4Eliasz3n = 7Sinicki took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSinickiEliaszS − EBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.532.8+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSinickiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 745 vs 334 / 89542.6%37.3%317 / 745 vs 334 / 895Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiSinicki 1.60/Eliasz 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.2%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sinicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 13:55M. Sinicki4891111982A. Eliasz49117911113
LMay 31 · 09:50M. Sinicki4511961182A. Eliasz46811115113
LMar 15 · 10:00M. Sinicki32711681A. Eliasz4011711113
WFeb 15 · 14:05M. Sinicki331111113A. Eliasz249690
WFeb 15 · 05:55M. Sinicki4291111113A. Eliasz34118871
LJan 25 · 11:05M. Sinicki3611510101A. Eliasz3831112123
WJan 18 · 12:50M. Sinicki331111113A. Eliasz185670
WOct 26 · 07:30M. Sinicki4111811113A. Eliasz37811991
WOct 19 · 14:20M. Sinicki331111113A. Eliasz165560
WSep 28 · 14:40M. Sinicki4211119113A. Eliasz26471141
M. Sinicki10
WSep 13 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.00581191M. Sinicki1.6611117113LSep 13 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.6391111852M. Piecowski2.06117811113LSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.70119991M. Piecowski1.9561111113WSep 13 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95881181LSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.66111113792D. Poloszczanski2.051131111113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560LSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101LSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111
A. Eliasz10
LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131WSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113LSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280WSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113LSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113WSep 10 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.7215116113K. Golaszewski1.931381191WSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291WSep 10 · 16:15M. Lukaszewski2.00971161A. Eliasz1.7111118113LSep 10 · 15:25A. Eliasz1.86513111082J. Rolak1.831111912113
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