TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123139
Played Sep 13Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117118711911119
Miroslaw Piecowski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:55 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
117118711911119
H2H Adrian Eliasz 8–4 Miroslaw Piecowski Miroslaw Piecowski has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Eliasz beat Piecowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Piecowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Eliasz
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1209 vs Piecowski 1293
Piecowski
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 40% vs Piecowski 60%
Piecowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 50% vs Piecowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz -3 · Piecowski +2
Eliasz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Piecowski) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 1.90 / Piecowski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Piecowski)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13123139
Eliasz1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 72
Piecowski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 50 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz6wins
AwayPiecowski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderEliasz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz100%4 of 4
AwayPiecowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz4Piecowski6n = 10Piecowski took 6 of 10
S2Eliasz8Piecowski2n = 10Eliasz took 8 of 10
S3Eliasz8Piecowski2n = 10Eliasz took 8 of 10
S4Eliasz3Piecowski4n = 7Piecowski took 4 of 7
S5Eliasz1Piecowski2n = 3Piecowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszPiecowskiE − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.235.2+3.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszPiecowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 898 vs 506 / 113737.2%44.5%334 / 898 vs 506 / 1137Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PiecowskiEliasz 1.90/Piecowski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Piecowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Eliasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:05A. Eliasz44111111113M. Piecowski33139831
LAug 30 · 09:25A. Eliasz4381111582M. Piecowski47115911113
LAug 30 · 06:55A. Eliasz321141161M. Piecowski4413119113
LAug 3 · 21:30A. Eliasz45101111762M. Piecowski50128811113
LAug 3 · 17:45A. Eliasz377119101M. Piecowski4211811123
WApr 19 · 13:55A. Eliasz341211113M. Piecowski2510690
WMar 30 · 01:25A. Eliasz45511711113M. Piecowski3711411382
WMar 29 · 22:50A. Eliasz3612211113M. Piecowski331011571
WMar 22 · 16:30A. Eliasz331111113M. Piecowski187470
WMar 15 · 04:25A. Eliasz331111113M. Piecowski238780
A. Eliasz10
LSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100LSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131WSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113LSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280WSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113LSep 10 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.8612750B. Wisniewski1.831411113WSep 10 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.7215116113K. Golaszewski1.931381191WSep 10 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.37111110113K. Klocek1.48791291
M. Piecowski10
WSep 13 · 11:00M. Lukaszewski1.7411116582M. Piecowski1.91881111113WSep 13 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.6391111852M. Piecowski2.06117811113LSep 13 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski1.83891111113M. Piecowski1.8111119672WSep 13 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.70119991M. Piecowski1.9561111113LSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113WSep 13 · 04:30M. Piecowski2.157111011113P. Staniszewski1.6311912892WSep 13 · 03:50B. Wisniewski1.76591161M. Piecowski1.9011119113LSep 3 · 24:10M. Piecowski1.34111578113M. Piecowski2.90713111192LSep 2 · 23:45M. Piecowski1.83611591K. Marchlewski1.8611411113WSep 2 · 22:55M. Piecowski1.7581111113W. Gluszek1.95118371
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