TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13123432
Played Sep 13Finished
Mikolaj Lukaszewski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210118––––
Piotr Staniszewski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:21 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
1141210118––––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 12–13 Piotr Staniszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:21What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Staniszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1338 vs Staniszewski 1356
Staniszewski
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Staniszewski 80%
Staniszewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 70% vs Staniszewski 50%
Lukaszewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -1 · Staniszewski +3
Staniszewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staniszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.85 / Staniszewski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Staniszewski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13123432
Lukaszewski1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 257 of 634
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 351
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 191
Staniszewski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 70 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it85% 56 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayStaniszewski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%5 of 5
AwayStaniszewski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski5Staniszewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Lukaszewski4Staniszewski6n = 10Staniszewski took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski3Staniszewski7n = 10Staniszewski took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski3Staniszewski5n = 8Staniszewski took 5 of 8
S5Lukaszewski4Staniszewski1n = 5Lukaszewski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiStaniszewskiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.642.4−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime918 / 2005 vs 405 / 87245.8%46.4%918 / 2005 vs 405 / 872Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniszewskiLukaszewski 1.85/Staniszewski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Staniszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski50119127113P. Staniszewski49811101192
WJul 11 · 01:25M. Lukaszewski3611311113P. Staniszewski33611881
LJul 10 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski3981151142P. Staniszewski48119116113
WMay 3 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski49117911113P. Staniszewski4691111962
LMar 27 · 08:15M. Lukaszewski227780P. Staniszewski331111113
LMar 27 · 05:35M. Lukaszewski4291210111P. Staniszewski46111012133
LMar 13 · 08:30M. Lukaszewski2688100P. Staniszewski341111123
WMar 13 · 06:00M. Lukaszewski531112127113P. Staniszewski49714101172
WMar 1 · 13:10M. Lukaszewski471111104113P. Staniszewski4999121182
LJan 23 · 04:45M. Lukaszewski32611781P. Staniszewski3711411113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 13 · 12:40M. Sinicki1.75116611113M. Lukaszewski1.9571111682WSep 13 · 11:50B. Wisniewski1.861191071M. Lukaszewski1.8091112113LSep 13 · 11:00M. Lukaszewski1.7411116582M. Piecowski1.91881111113WSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100WSep 12 · 24:10K. Marchlewski2.0594100M. Lukaszewski1.681111123LSep 11 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski1.90111191092D. Poloszczanski1.80461112113WSep 11 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski1.8511814113W. Gluszek1.856111271WSep 11 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski2.151111113K. Sulkowski1.617880WSep 11 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.607121491M. Lukaszewski2.20111016113WSep 11 · 19:20K. Marchlewski2.007119111M. Lukaszewski1.7011711133
P. Staniszewski10
WSep 13 · 13:30M. Piecowski2.196760P. Staniszewski1.551111113WSep 13 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.9078141192P. Staniszewski1.761111127113WSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0581111133P. Staniszewski1.631156111WSep 13 · 08:10B. Wisniewski2.0510340P. Staniszewski1.631211113LSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131LSep 13 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.9012119113P. Staniszewski1.751021161LSep 13 · 04:30M. Piecowski2.157111011113P. Staniszewski1.6311912892WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113
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