TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13122458
Played Sep 13Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012311411––––
Piotr Staniszewski
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Staniszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
1012311411––––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 24–29 Piotr Staniszewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Staniszewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-29 in 53
Staniszewski
Correct
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1230 vs Staniszewski 1335
Staniszewski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Staniszewski 20%
Wisniewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 30% vs Staniszewski 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Staniszewski -3
Staniszewski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Staniszewski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.05 / Staniszewski 1.63
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Staniszewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13122458
Wisniewski2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 162 of 432
Down 0–1, comes back15% 36 of 248
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 134
Staniszewski1.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 70 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it85% 56 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski5wins
AwayStaniszewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski83.3%5 of 6
AwayStaniszewski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski6Staniszewski4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Wisniewski2Staniszewski8n = 10Staniszewski took 8 of 10
S3Wisniewski6Staniszewski4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski2Staniszewski5n = 7Staniszewski took 5 of 7
S5Wisniewski3Staniszewski1n = 4Wisniewski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiStaniszewskiW − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.8−1.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiStaniszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime900 / 1887 vs 401 / 86747.7%46.3%900 / 1887 vs 401 / 867Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniszewskiWisniewski 2.05/Staniszewski 1.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Staniszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Staniszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 26 · 13:55B. Wisniewski5311101110113P. Staniszewski4991281282
WJul 26 · 07:20B. Wisniewski481110115113P. Staniszewski4251271172
LJul 26 · 04:55B. Wisniewski207490P. Staniszewski331111113
LJun 14 · 14:20B. Wisniewski33611881P. Staniszewski4111811113
WJun 7 · 09:50B. Wisniewski49117119113P. Staniszewski4781181192
WMay 30 · 13:30B. Wisniewski341111123P. Staniszewski2798100
LMay 24 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2351170P. Staniszewski351113113
WMay 17 · 12:15B. Wisniewski43111011113P. Staniszewski34912581
LMay 17 · 06:05B. Wisniewski4612881172P. Staniszewski501011117113
LMay 9 · 12:15B. Wisniewski357711101P. Staniszewski4011116123
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 13 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.00581191M. Sinicki1.6611117113WSep 13 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0581111133P. Staniszewski1.631156111LSep 13 · 06:30D. Poloszczanski1.95124811113B. Wisniewski1.74101111472LSep 13 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.7411119113B. Wisniewski1.95881181WSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280LSep 13 · 03:50B. Wisniewski1.76591161M. Piecowski1.9011119113WSep 12 · 08:10I. Dabrowski1.41114961B. Wisniewski2.6051111113WSep 12 · 07:20J. Rolak1.9112811111B. Wisniewski1.7314115133LSep 12 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.801111113B. Wisniewski1.859680LSep 12 · 04:30J. Glanowski1.50711116113B. Wisniewski2.3511991172
P. Staniszewski10
LSep 13 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0581111133P. Staniszewski1.631156111LSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131LSep 13 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski1.9012119113P. Staniszewski1.751021161LSep 13 · 04:30M. Piecowski2.157111011113P. Staniszewski1.6311912892WSep 13 · 03:00M. Sinicki1.8511811101P. Staniszewski1.8513119123LSep 6 · 14:15P. Staniszewski2.377650D. Wasilewski1.521111113LSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281WSep 6 · 10:55P. Staniszewski1.66111262123T. Pisarczyk2.056101111102WSep 6 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.8611811133M. Zagajewski1.836117111
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