TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127471
Played Sep 14Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119113911115––
Piotr Ostachowski
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:34 and never touched — 74.0% is still 74.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
74.0%
74.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
119113911115––
H2H Mateusz Trela 2–0 Piotr Ostachowski Piotr Ostachowski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trela 1380 vs Ostachowski 729
Trela
Correct
both rated, 651 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 40% vs Ostachowski 0%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Ostachowski 0%
Trela
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -2 · Ostachowski -5
Ostachowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostachowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.25 / Ostachowski 3.40
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Trela)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13127471
Trela1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 135 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it72% 87 of 121
Ostachowski3.40
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog0% won 0 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTrela2wins
AwayOstachowski0wins
Trela leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTrelaOstachowskiT − OBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.015.0+18.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaOstachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime820 / 1664 vs 0 / 1849.3%0%820 / 1664 vs 0 / 18Avg sets wonper match2.00.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.427.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.25/Ostachowski 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 9 · 21:05M. Trela331111113P. Ostachowski198740
WSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela331111113P. Ostachowski114160
M. Trela10
LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113WSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102WSep 11 · 04:10M. Misiak1.56812101192M. Trela2.181110126113LSep 11 · 03:25M. Trela1.9511712922R. Stapor1.759111011113WSep 11 · 24:35M. Trela1.631111123K. Golaszewski2.1568100WSep 10 · 23:45K. Klocek1.805480M. Trela1.851111113LSep 10 · 22:35M. Trela1.757970M. Lukaszewski1.951111113WSep 10 · 21:55J. Rolak1.70910111182M. Trela2.00111267113WSep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.8511115992M. Trela1.75981111113
P. Ostachowski10
LSep 10 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.461211123P. Ostachowski2.50109100LSep 9 · 23:45P. Ostachowski2.1271111972K. Golaszewski1.62115911113LSep 9 · 22:55P. Ostachowski3.503630K. Klocek1.241111113LSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113LSep 9 · 20:05K. Klocek1.25114711123P. Ostachowski3.45411115102LSep 9 · 19:20A. Myszewski1.5011119123P. Ostachowski2.375511101LSep 9 · 17:20K. Golaszewski1.861115113P. Ostachowski1.8361380LSep 9 · 16:35P. Strus1.8091111113P. Ostachowski1.86113571LSep 9 · 15:00M. Trela1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.504160LSep 9 · 24:35P. Ostachowski2.05981191B. Mrugala1.6611115113
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