TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130868
Played Sep 14Finished
Piotr Ostachowski
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111210711711––
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.24
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
6111210711711––
H2H Piotr Ostachowski 0–3 Mateusz Trela Piotr Ostachowski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Trela beat Ostachowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (74%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Trela
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ostachowski 700 vs Trela 1355
Trela
Correct
both rated, 655 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ostachowski 0% vs Trela 40%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ostachowski 0% vs Trela 50%
Trela
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ostachowski -5 · Trela +1
Ostachowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (40%) is below what odds imply (81%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOstachowski 3.50 / Trela 1.24
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Trela)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13130868
Ostachowski3.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog0% won 0 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Trela1.24
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 135 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it72% 87 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOstachowski0wins
AwayTrela3wins
Trela leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOstachowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayTrela100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ostachowski0Trela3n = 3Trela took 3 of 3
S2Ostachowski0Trela3n = 3Trela took 3 of 3
S3Ostachowski1Trela2n = 3Trela took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricOstachowskiTrelaO − TBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match19.336.0−16.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOstachowskiTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 23 vs 818 / 16570%49.4%0 / 23 vs 818 / 1657Avg sets wonper match0.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match27.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaOstachowski 3.50/Trela 1.24
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.8%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 14 · 15:00P. Ostachowski28931151M. Trela4211119113
LSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski198740M. Trela331111113
LSep 9 · 15:00P. Ostachowski114160M. Trela331111113
P. Ostachowski10
LSep 14 · 20:05K. Golaszewski1.7211913113P. Ostachowski2.003111191LSep 14 · 19:20M. Lukaszewski1.441111113P. Ostachowski2.505580LSep 14 · 17:20A. Myszewski1.3713811113P. Ostachowski2.801111561LSep 14 · 16:35P. Strus1.6211119113P. Ostachowski2.11771191LSep 14 · 15:00M. Trela1.2511119113P. Ostachowski3.40931151LSep 10 · 24:10A. Myszewski1.461211123P. Ostachowski2.50109100LSep 9 · 23:45P. Ostachowski2.1271111972K. Golaszewski1.62115911113LSep 9 · 22:55P. Ostachowski3.503630K. Klocek1.241111113LSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113LSep 9 · 20:05K. Klocek1.25114711123P. Ostachowski3.45411115102
M. Trela10
LSep 14 · 20:30M. Trela1.737911111M. Lukaszewski1.9211118133WSep 14 · 18:55M. Trela1.491211113P. Strus2.3310510LSep 14 · 17:45M. Trela1.95811791K. Golaszewski1.7011511113LSep 14 · 16:15M. Trela1.96991151A. Myszewski1.6911119113WSep 14 · 15:00M. Trela1.2511119113P. Ostachowski3.40931151LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela2.357980J. Glanowski1.521111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113WSep 11 · 05:15M. Trela1.60561111123B. Wisniewski2.20111196102WSep 11 · 04:10M. Misiak1.56812101192M. Trela2.181110126113WSep 9 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.408740M. Trela1.281111113
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