TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138972
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111012––––
Jakub Zochniak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Minda above · Jakub Zochniak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Zochniak at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Michal Minda 62–80 Jakub Zochniak Michal Minda has won 62 of their 142 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Minda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-80 in 142
Zochniak
Correct
gap of 18 in 142, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1474 vs Zochniak 1609
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 60% vs Zochniak 80%
Zochniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 40% vs Zochniak 70%
Zochniak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda +2 · Zochniak +4
Zochniak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zochniak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.73 / Zochniak 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Minda)-7.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13138972
Minda1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 270 of 434
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it81% 204 of 252
Zochniak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 138 of 410
Down 0–1, comes back13% 30 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMinda6wins
AwayZochniak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMinda leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda57.1%4 of 7
AwayZochniak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda7Zochniak3n = 10Minda took 7 of 10
S2Minda1Zochniak9n = 10Zochniak took 9 of 10
S3Minda7Zochniak3n = 10Minda took 7 of 10
S4Minda4Zochniak6n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S5Minda4Zochniak1n = 5Minda took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMindaZochniakM − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.444.5−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime1026 / 2008 vs 1155 / 220751.1%52.3%1026 / 2008 vs 1155 / 2207Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakMinda 1.73/Zochniak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 06:25M. Minda37881381J. Zochniak44111111113
WSep 4 · 06:50M. Minda551391012113J. Zochniak531111121092
WSep 3 · 03:40M. Minda521081211113J. Zochniak49121110882
LSep 2 · 03:20M. Minda4611613792J. Zochniak539111111113
LSep 1 · 08:05M. Minda3811116101J. Zochniak4481311123
WAug 31 · 04:00M. Minda49711119113J. Zochniak4811991182
WAug 28 · 05:15M. Minda4311811133J. Zochniak368116111
WAug 27 · 06:25M. Minda46117116113J. Zochniak4781181192
WAug 26 · 13:05M. Minda4111811113J. Zochniak29811371
LAug 26 · 06:00M. Minda27116641J. Zochniak4291111113
M. Minda10
WSep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.351115113A. Szoltysek2.7591390WSep 9 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.909101161M. Minda1.1911129113LSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171LSep 9 · 11:00M. Minda1.83991171P. Blocho1.8611117113WSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Minda1.85781191B. Czerwinski1.8511117113LSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda1.90911291D. Solilo1.8011911113WSep 9 · 05:35M. Minda1.8311611113P. Blocho1.86911951LSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 16 · 14:40A. Szoltysek3.6598100J. Zochniak1.211111123WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990WSep 16 · 12:15A. Myszewski3.2589120J. Zochniak1.261111143WSep 16 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9110111014112J. Zochniak1.801291212133LSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 15 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.657101191J. Zochniak1.2111124113LSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121WSep 15 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.05112811163J. Witkowski1.66711117142WSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381LSep 15 · 09:50B. Czerwinski1.9011711113J. Zochniak1.76611891
Upcoming Matches
M. Minda
Sep 16 · 16:55M. Minda1.91M. Kolek1.80—Sep 16 · 17:40M. Minda2.00D. Solilo1.73—Sep 16 · 18:30M. Minda1.83B. Sulkowski1.83—Sep 16 · 20:05M. Minda2.75M. Rutkowski1.40—Sep 17 · 09:00M. Minda—F. Krcil——Sep 17 · 10:35M. Minda—R. Stapor——Sep 17 · 11:25M. Minda—W. Suchecki——Sep 17 · 13:30M. Minda—D. Kosmal——Sep 17 · 14:20M. Minda—J. Zochniak——
J. Zochniak
Sep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.25M. Kolek1.57—Sep 16 · 18:50J. Zochniak1.83D. Solilo1.83—Sep 16 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.67B. Sulkowski2.10—Sep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak—R. Stapor——Sep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak—D. Kosmal——Sep 17 · 11:50J. Zochniak—F. Krcil——Sep 17 · 12:40J. Zochniak—W. Suchecki——Sep 17 · 14:20J. Zochniak—M. Minda——
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