TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100977
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Minda
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811117911––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
711811117911––
H2H Michal Minda 3–5 Bartosz Czerwinski Michal Minda has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Minda 1490 vs Czerwinski 1464
Minda
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Minda 20% vs Czerwinski 40%
Czerwinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Minda 40% vs Czerwinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Minda -1 · Czerwinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 1.85 / Czerwinski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Minda)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13100977
Minda1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Czerwinski1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMinda3wins
AwayCzerwinski5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMinda66.7%2 of 3
AwayCzerwinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda3Czerwinski5n = 8Czerwinski took 5 of 8
S2Minda5Czerwinski3n = 8Minda took 5 of 8
S3Minda2Czerwinski6n = 8Czerwinski took 6 of 8
S4Minda2Czerwinski3n = 5Czerwinski took 3 of 5
S5Minda1Czerwinski2n = 3Czerwinski took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricMindaCzerwinskiM − CBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.240.8−2.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1027 / 2015 vs 498 / 107151%46.5%1027 / 2015 vs 498 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 1.85/Czerwinski 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 8 · 06:25M. Minda—91112782B. Czerwinski—1121011113
LJun 29 · 11:00M. Minda—48120B. Czerwinski—1111143
WJun 17 · 06:05M. Minda—1111119133B. Czerwinski—137611112
WJun 17 · 03:50M. Minda—111118143B. Czerwinski—6820121
LJun 16 · 05:40M. Minda—4680B. Czerwinski—1111113
LJun 16 · 03:25M. Minda—4690B. Czerwinski—1111113
WMay 29 · 03:25M. Minda—11119113B. Czerwinski—991151
LMay 20 · 03:25M. Minda—12118972B. Czerwinski—1081111113
M. Minda10
LSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda1.90911291D. Solilo1.8011911113WSep 9 · 05:35M. Minda1.8311611113P. Blocho1.86911951LSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113LSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113LSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski1.901121011113M. Minda1.8091112782WSep 8 · 05:35A. Sobel1.801011891M. Minda1.8512211113LSep 8 · 04:50M. Minda4.28731191M. Sklensky1.1411118113WSep 8 · 03:40M. Minda1.821111113S. Brud1.884840WSep 7 · 14:20M. Minda1.421111113J. Nosiadek2.606970
B. Czerwinski10
WSep 9 · 07:15B. Czerwinski1.8041113113R. Stapor1.911141181LSep 9 · 06:00D. Solilo1.8581111113B. Czerwinski1.85115861LSep 9 · 04:50P. Blocho1.751161111123B. Czerwinski1.95611713102WSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113LSep 8 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.85891281S. Brud1.85111110113WSep 8 · 06:25B. Czerwinski1.901121011113M. Minda1.8091112782LSep 8 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.75871481A. Lilien1.95111112113WSep 8 · 04:00A. Sobel1.80114751B. Czerwinski1.9071111113LSep 8 · 03:20B. Czerwinski4.056770M. Sklensky1.171111113LSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113
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