TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13138967
Played Sep 16Finished
Jakub Zochniak
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7117111210611––
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Zochniak above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Mateusz Rutkowski at 73.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Zochniak 22–42 Mateusz Rutkowski Jakub Zochniak has won 22 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:27What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-42 in 64
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 20 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1618 vs Rutkowski 1702
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 100% vs Rutkowski 60%
Zochniak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 80% vs Rutkowski 60%
Zochniak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +5 · Rutkowski -1
Zochniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 2.50 / Rutkowski 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Rutkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13138967
Zochniak2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 138 of 410
Down 0–1, comes back13% 30 of 232
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Rutkowski1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 354 of 497
Up 2–0, closes it98% 172 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it90% 278 of 308
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak1wins
AwayRutkowski9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak25%1 of 4
AwayRutkowski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S2Zochniak1Rutkowski9n = 10Rutkowski took 9 of 10
S3Zochniak3Rutkowski6n = 9Rutkowski took 6 of 9
S4Zochniak1Rutkowski4n = 5Rutkowski took 4 of 5
S5Zochniak0Rutkowski3n = 3Rutkowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakRutkowskiZ − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.837.6−6.8per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1156 / 2208 vs 793 / 141152.4%56.2%1156 / 2208 vs 793 / 1411Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiZochniak 2.50/Rutkowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 24 · 24:20J. Zochniak4211711582M. Rutkowski39211411113
LJun 23 · 22:05J. Zochniak43115134102M. Rutkowski538111111123
LJun 23 · 24:45J. Zochniak391199101M. Rutkowski4061111123
LJun 22 · 22:30J. Zochniak4595111192M. Rutkowski50111189113
LJun 22 · 20:30J. Zochniak26610100M. Rutkowski351112123
LJun 19 · 01:10J. Zochniak2789100M. Rutkowski341111123
WJun 18 · 22:50J. Zochniak131123M. Rutkowski13852
LJun 16 · 23:55J. Zochniak32514491M. Rutkowski45111211113
LJun 16 · 21:45J. Zochniak2257100M. Rutkowski341111123
LJun 16 · 15:00J. Zochniak197660M. Rutkowski331111113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 16 · 15:45M. Minda1.7376100J. Zochniak2.001111123WSep 16 · 14:40A. Szoltysek3.6598100J. Zochniak1.211111123WSep 16 · 13:30J. Zochniak1.151111113M. Zwolinski4.407990WSep 16 · 12:15A. Myszewski3.2589120J. Zochniak1.261111143WSep 16 · 11:00B. Czerwinski1.9110111014112J. Zochniak1.801291212133LSep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60111147113J. Zochniak1.4195111152WSep 15 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn3.657101191J. Zochniak1.2111124113LSep 15 · 13:05A. Sobel1.9511119113J. Zochniak1.70971121WSep 15 · 12:15J. Zochniak2.05112811163J. Witkowski1.66711117142WSep 15 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.5391111113K. Rudomina2.35118381
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 16 · 17:20B. Sulkowski3.50611651M. Rutkowski1.2811711113LSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842WSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101WSep 16 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz1.951186141M. Rutkowski1.7071111163LSep 16 · 11:45M. Olbrycht2.09813811113M. Rutkowski1.61111111592WSep 16 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.8512167133P. Jendrzejewski1.85101411111WSep 16 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.831111125113K. Kapik1.8789141162WSep 15 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.867950M. Rutkowski1.801111113LSep 15 · 13:25M. Rutkowski1.9597110K. Glazowski1.701111133LSep 15 · 12:10L. Jarocki1.731011129113M. Rutkowski1.92122101132
Upcoming Matches
J. Zochniak
Sep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.25M. Kolek1.57—Sep 16 · 18:50J. Zochniak1.83D. Solilo1.83—Sep 16 · 19:40J. Zochniak1.67B. Sulkowski2.10—Sep 17 · 09:50J. Zochniak—R. Stapor——Sep 17 · 11:00J. Zochniak—D. Kosmal——Sep 17 · 11:50J. Zochniak—F. Krcil——Sep 17 · 12:40J. Zochniak—W. Suchecki——Sep 17 · 14:20J. Zochniak—M. Minda——
M. Rutkowski
Sep 16 · 19:15M. Rutkowski1.57M. Kolek2.25—Sep 16 · 20:05M. Rutkowski1.40M. Minda2.75—Sep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 17 · 10:05M. Rutkowski—K. Kapik——Sep 17 · 11:45M. Rutkowski—D. Solilo——Sep 17 · 13:00M. Rutkowski—M. Olbrycht——Sep 17 · 14:35M. Rutkowski—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 17 · 15:25M. Rutkowski—M. Kolek——Sep 17 · 16:05M. Rutkowski—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 17 · 17:20M. Rutkowski—K. Rudomina——
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