TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137077
Played Sep 16Finished
Dominik Solilo
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111181113118114
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Solilo above · Mateusz Rutkowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 97 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 57.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Solilo 0–1 Mateusz Rutkowski Dominik Solilo has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Rutkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1624 vs Rutkowski 1715
Rutkowski
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 20% vs Rutkowski 80%
Rutkowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 50% vs Rutkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo -2 · Rutkowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 3.75 / Rutkowski 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Rutkowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13137077
Solilo3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 75 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Rutkowski1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 354 of 497
Up 2–0, closes it98% 172 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it90% 278 of 308
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSolilo0wins
AwayRutkowski1wins
Rutkowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSoliloRutkowskiS − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 499 vs 793 / 141048.1%56.2%240 / 499 vs 793 / 1410Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiSolilo 3.75/Rutkowski 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.8%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LDec 30 · 16:30D. Solilo259970M. Rutkowski331111113
D. Solilo10
LSep 16 · 24:35B. Kwodawski3.40118113113D. Solilo1.3061171162LSep 15 · 22:55A. Linek2.6311911113D. Solilo1.44611881WSep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.506670D. Solilo1.501111113LSep 15 · 21:25L. Pietraszko1.801111123D. Solilo1.9196100LSep 15 · 24:35D. Solilo1.36511111072J. Lamperski3.00118512113WSep 14 · 23:45K. Kostyk2.2511113892D. Solilo1.57861111113LSep 14 · 22:35D. Solilo1.57111113692A. Linek2.25961511113WSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk1.5097111142D. Solilo2.50111157113WSep 13 · 13:50P. Maruszak2.405330D. Solilo1.461111113WSep 13 · 13:00T. Piotrowski2.604810D. Solilo1.401111113
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 16 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.57101311123D. Kosmal2.2512118101WSep 16 · 12:35G. Poliniewicz1.951186141M. Rutkowski1.7071111163LSep 16 · 11:45M. Olbrycht2.09813811113M. Rutkowski1.61111111592WSep 16 · 10:55M. Rutkowski1.8512167133P. Jendrzejewski1.85101411111WSep 16 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.831111125113K. Kapik1.8789141162WSep 15 · 14:35M. Malachowski1.867950M. Rutkowski1.801111113LSep 15 · 13:25M. Rutkowski1.9597110K. Glazowski1.701111133LSep 15 · 12:10L. Jarocki1.731011129113M. Rutkowski1.92122101132WSep 15 · 10:55M. Miastowski1.51491151M. Rutkowski2.2811118113LSep 15 · 09:20M. Sklensky1.6161212113M. Rutkowski2.0911101061
Upcoming Matches
D. Solilo
Sep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73M. Minda2.00—Sep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83J. Zochniak1.83—Sep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo1.83M. Kolek1.83—Sep 16 · 21:00D. Solilo1.73B. Sulkowski2.00—Sep 16 · 22:10D. Solilo1.40J. Lamperski2.75—Sep 16 · 22:35D. Solilo2.38K. Staszczyk1.53—Sep 16 · 23:20D. Solilo1.83M. Kolek1.83—Sep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo—M. Olbrycht——Sep 17 · 10:55D. Solilo—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 17 · 11:45D. Solilo—M. Rutkowski——
M. Rutkowski
Sep 16 · 16:30M. Rutkowski1.50J. Zochniak2.50—Sep 16 · 17:20M. Rutkowski1.22B. Sulkowski4.00—Sep 16 · 19:15M. Rutkowski1.57M. Kolek2.25—Sep 16 · 20:05M. Rutkowski1.40M. Minda2.75—Sep 17 · 09:00M. Rutkowski—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 17 · 10:05M. Rutkowski—K. Kapik——Sep 17 · 11:45M. Rutkowski—D. Solilo——Sep 17 · 13:00M. Rutkowski—M. Olbrycht——Sep 17 · 14:35M. Rutkowski—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 17 · 15:25M. Rutkowski—M. Kolek——
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