TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13136297
Played Sep 16Finished
Rafal Stapor
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191199119111012
Artur Szoltysek
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeRafal Stapor to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
1191199119111012
H2H Rafal Stapor 2–1 Artur Szoltysek Artur Szoltysek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1456 vs Szoltysek 1251
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 80% vs Szoltysek 20%
Stapor
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Szoltysek 30%
Stapor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +4 · Szoltysek +1
Stapor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.50 / Szoltysek 2.40
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Stapor)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13136297
Stapor1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 380 of 608
Up 2–0, closes it96% 188 of 196
Up 1–0, closes it81% 288 of 357
Szoltysek2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 55 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStapor2wins
AwaySzoltysek1wins
Stapor leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor2Szoltysek1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S2Stapor2Szoltysek1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
S3Stapor2Szoltysek1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaporSzoltysekStapor − SzoltysekBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match28.326.0+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporSzoltysekBasisWin rate · lifetime665 / 1175 vs 240 / 56656.6%42.4%665 / 1175 vs 240 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.50/Szoltysek 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.3%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szoltysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 18 · 03:00R. Stapor196760A. Szoltysek331111113
WMar 1 · 12:00R. Stapor331111113A. Szoltysek249690
WMar 1 · 05:55R. Stapor331111113A. Szoltysek218670
R. Stapor10
WSep 16 · 04:10R. Stapor1.9891111113J. Glanowski1.73118861WSep 16 · 03:00R. Stapor1.701112113K. Klocek2.0031080WSep 15 · 08:35W. Iwasyszyn2.4661131142R. Stapor1.44119117113WSep 15 · 07:20R. Stapor1.721111113K. Klocek2.006890LSep 15 · 06:05A. Sobel1.5411711113R. Stapor2.25611391WSep 15 · 04:55J. Glanowski1.678350R. Stapor2.001111113LSep 15 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.65111011113R. Stapor1.38912641WSep 14 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2.4061070R. Stapor1.501112113LSep 14 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn1.85161187113R. Stapor1.80142111182LSep 14 · 06:05R. Stapor1.6091181162J. Przewlocki2.15118116113
A. Szoltysek10
LSep 16 · 06:30J. Glanowski1.36139112113A. Szoltysek2.75111171182WSep 16 · 04:55A. Szoltysek2.01811118113A. Myszewski1.6611951172LSep 16 · 03:50A. Szoltysek1.60891181M. Zwolinski2.1511116113LSep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.351115113A. Szoltysek2.7591390LSep 9 · 13:30P. Blocho1.38111111113A. Szoltysek2.65351371LSep 9 · 11:25M. Zwolinski2.051141111113A. Szoltysek1.6581113672LSep 9 · 10:35J. Krawczyk1.751111113A. Szoltysek1.959530LSep 9 · 09:00A. Lilien1.44111110113A. Szoltysek2.50881281WSep 9 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski2.006890A. Szoltysek1.701111113WSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
Sep 16 · 06:55R. Stapor1.45M. Zwolinski2.50—Sep 16 · 08:35R. Stapor1.57A. Myszewski2.15—Sep 16 · 09:25R. Stapor2.60J. Zochniak1.41—Sep 16 · 10:10R. Stapor1.44A. Szoltysek2.46—Sep 16 · 11:25R. Stapor1.31M. Zwolinski2.95—Sep 16 · 12:40R. Stapor2.48B. Czerwinski1.44—Sep 16 · 13:55R. Stapor1.57A. Myszewski2.15—
A. Szoltysek
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