TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13124094
Played Sep 13Finished
Josef Chalupa
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11911131151210––
Ondrej Kaderabek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJosef Chalupa above · Ondrej Kaderabek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10
82 points played in total.
H2H Josef Chalupa 4–0 Ondrej Kaderabek Ondrej Kaderabek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Chalupa beat Kaderabek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaderabek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.36 / Kaderabek 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Chalupa)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13124094
Chalupa1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 29 of 40
Kaderabek3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 37 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back33% 12 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChalupa4wins
AwayKaderabek0wins
Chalupa leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupa2Kaderabek2n = 4split evenly
S2Chalupa3Kaderabek1n = 4Chalupa took 3 of 4
S3Chalupa3Kaderabek1n = 4Chalupa took 3 of 4
S4Chalupa4Kaderabek0n = 4Chalupa took 4 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home4100%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChalupaKaderabekC − KBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.231.5+8.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaKaderabekBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 371 vs 200 / 39355.5%50.9%206 / 371 vs 200 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.36/Kaderabek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 07:15J. Chalupa4111811113O. Kaderabek29511851
WMay 11 · 19:15J. Chalupa3611113113O. Kaderabek29921171
WDec 4 · 09:25J. Chalupa43101111113O. Kaderabek32126591
WDec 4 · 08:15J. Chalupa4171111123O. Kaderabek361187101
J. Chalupa10
WSep 13 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3.25511851J. Chalupa1.3311811113LSep 13 · 06:45J. Chalupa1.531131261L. Svoboda2.3891114113WSep 13 · 05:45J. Chalupa1.80611511113D. Gasparovic1.9111611882WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113
O. Kaderabek10
LSep 13 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3.25511851J. Chalupa1.3311811113LSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek1.918580D. Gasparovic1.801111113LSep 13 · 05:15O. Kaderabek1.5051120L. Svoboda2.501113113LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113LAug 2 · 09:15M. Makara2.25121153113O. Kaderabek1.57102111162LAug 1 · 12:25O. Kaderabek2.00116881L. Heinzl1.7371111113LAug 1 · 10:15M. Makara2.251111113O. Kaderabek1.573790LAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870
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