TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122114
Played Sep 13Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113211––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:02 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kaderabek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 53 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Ondrej Kaderabek at 62.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 2–0 Lukas Svoboda Lukas Svoboda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:02What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kaderabek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaderabek 1664 vs Svoboda 1700
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaderabek 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaderabek 50% vs Svoboda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaderabek -1 · Svoboda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kaderabek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 1.50 / Svoboda 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Kaderabek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122114
Kaderabek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 33 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Svoboda2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 16 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKaderabek2wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
Kaderabek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKaderabekSvobodaK − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.035.5+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 390 vs 75 / 16751.3%44.9%200 / 390 vs 75 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaderabekKaderabek 1.50/Svoboda 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Kaderabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 21 · 11:45O. Kaderabek4181111113L. Svoboda34117791
WJun 14 · 08:00O. Kaderabek4111117123L. Svoboda378811101
O. Kaderabek10
LSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek1.918580D. Gasparovic1.801111113LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113LAug 2 · 09:15M. Makara2.25121153113O. Kaderabek1.57102111162LAug 1 · 12:25O. Kaderabek2.00116881L. Heinzl1.7371111113LAug 1 · 10:15M. Makara2.251111113O. Kaderabek1.573790LAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870WJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881WJul 31 · 07:45V. Burylov1.8371060O. Kaderabek1.831112113
L. Svoboda10
WSep 12 · 12:46M. Makara1.8312940L. Svoboda1.831411113LSep 12 · 11:45L. Svoboda1.50116561M. Makara2.5081111113WSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113WSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103LSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113WSep 11 · 05:45L. Svoboda2.25115129113L. Dobias1.57511101142WSep 10 · 16:44M. Zelinka1.4010690L. Svoboda2.751211113LSep 10 · 15:45L. Svoboda2.503990M. Zelinka1.501111113
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