TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122068
Played Sep 13Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511811––––
David Gasparovic
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:02 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held David Gasparovic at 55.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 0–1 David Gasparovic Ondrej Kaderabek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gasparovic
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaderabek 1640 vs Gasparovic 1716
Gasparovic
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaderabek 40% vs Gasparovic 60%
Gasparovic
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaderabek 40% vs Gasparovic 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaderabek -2 · Gasparovic -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaderabek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 1.91 / Gasparovic 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gasparovic)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122068
Kaderabek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 37 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back33% 12 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Gasparovic1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 33 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKaderabek0wins
AwayGasparovic1wins
Gasparovic leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKaderabekGasparovicK − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 392 vs 107 / 17951%59.8%200 / 392 vs 107 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicKaderabek 1.91/Gasparovic 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gasparovic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek218580D. Gasparovic331111113
O. Kaderabek10
LSep 13 · 05:15O. Kaderabek1.5051120L. Svoboda2.501113113LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113LAug 2 · 09:15M. Makara2.25121153113O. Kaderabek1.57102111162LAug 1 · 12:25O. Kaderabek2.00116881L. Heinzl1.7371111113LAug 1 · 10:15M. Makara2.251111113O. Kaderabek1.573790LAug 1 · 09:45L. Heinzl1.531111113O. Kaderabek2.389870WJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881WJul 31 · 07:45V. Burylov1.8371060O. Kaderabek1.831112113
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 13 · 05:45J. Chalupa1.80611511113D. Gasparovic1.9111611882WSep 12 · 20:45M. Makara1.8341010D. Gasparovic1.831112113WSep 12 · 19:15D. Gasparovic1.83111012113J. Sr1.838121061WSep 12 · 18:15D. Gasparovic2.2011115113Z. Sedivy1.61751151LSep 12 · 17:15D. Gasparovic1.446890M. Makara2.631111113LSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101WSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153WSep 11 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.44111211113M. Makara2.63614451LSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860
Upcoming Matches
O. Kaderabek
Nothing scheduled
D. Gasparovic
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