TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13123725
Played Sep 13Finished
Bilski Bartosz
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151159111012117
Damian Bucko
Away
1.58
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1151159111012117
H2H Bilski Bartosz 10–12 Damian Bucko Bilski Bartosz has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:12What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Bucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Bucko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartosz 1518 vs Bucko 1615
Bucko
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartosz 80% vs Bucko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartosz 60% vs Bucko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartosz +1 · Bucko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bucko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartosz 2.15 / Bucko 1.58
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bucko)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13123725
Bartosz2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Bucko1.58
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartosz5wins
AwayBucko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartosz66.7%4 of 6
AwayBucko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartosz6Bucko4n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S2Bartosz5Bucko5n = 10split evenly
S3Bartosz6Bucko4n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S4Bartosz6Bucko2n = 8Bartosz took 6 of 8
S5Bartosz0Bucko3n = 3Bucko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartoszBuckoBartosz − BuckoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.9+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartoszBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 222 vs 333 / 59952.3%55.6%116 / 222 vs 333 / 599Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBartosz 2.15/Bucko 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 19:30B. Bartosz4767141192D. Bucko531111128113
WAug 20 · 18:00B. Bartosz4291111113D. Bucko30116581
WApr 29 · 20:00B. Bartosz4413911113D. Bucko341111841
WApr 23 · 14:30B. Bartosz331111113D. Bucko216780
LApr 16 · 15:30B. Bartosz49149111142D. Bucko501211133113
LApr 11 · 22:05B. Bartosz366111181D. Bucko4311813113
LApr 1 · 17:00B. Bartosz301111261D. Bucko4041114113
WFeb 28 · 22:05B. Bartosz49151211113D. Bucko411314951
WFeb 8 · 14:05B. Bartosz331111113D. Bucko189540
LFeb 2 · 20:30B. Bartosz48141181142D. Bucko49163118113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz2.041113113K. Zapala1.6451160LSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980
D. Bucko10
WSep 13 · 08:05D. Bucko1.6611813113K. Guzy2.019111151LSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133WSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192WSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950
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