TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120679
Played Sep 12Finished
Mateusz Szymanski
Home
1.48
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1513511611611––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1513511611611––
H2H Mateusz Szymanski 1–2 Bilski Bartosz Mateusz Szymanski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (61%)
Szymanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1575 vs Bartosz 1447
Szymanski
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 60% vs Bartosz 20%
Szymanski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 50% vs Bartosz 30%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -2 · Bartosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 1.48 / Bartosz 2.36
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Szymanski)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13120679
Szymanski1.48
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 32 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Bartosz2.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayBartosz2wins
Bartosz leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayBartosz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski0Bartosz3n = 3Bartosz took 3 of 3
S2Szymanski2Bartosz1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S3Szymanski1Bartosz2n = 3Bartosz took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzymanskiBartoszS − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match33.335.0−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 263 vs 111 / 21653.6%51.4%141 / 263 vs 111 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiSzymanski 1.48/Bartosz 2.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMar 7 · 19:05M. Szymanski3961111113B. Bartosz30116851
LDec 30 · 15:00M. Szymanski37911891B. Bartosz4211911113
LNov 30 · 07:30M. Szymanski248880B. Bartosz331111113
M. Szymanski10
LSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070LSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113WSep 11 · 19:00P. Odelski1.838101131M. Szymanski1.8611127113WSep 11 · 17:00T. Stachera2.33119551M. Szymanski1.4981111113WSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141
B. Bartosz10
WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113
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