TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120677
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
61110121113––––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
61110121113––––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 16–9 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Zapala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1488 vs Bartosz 1463
Zapala
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 60% vs Bartosz 40%
Zapala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 40% vs Bartosz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -2 · Bartosz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.55 / Bartosz 2.30
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Zapala)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13120677
Zapala1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 65 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Bartosz2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala8wins
AwayBartosz2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala100%4 of 4
AwayBartosz33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S2Zapala9Bartosz1n = 10Zapala took 9 of 10
S3Zapala7Bartosz3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S4Zapala4Bartosz2n = 6Zapala took 4 of 6
S5Zapala3Bartosz1n = 4Zapala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaBartoszZ − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.437.2+6.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 717 vs 112 / 21745.1%51.6%323 / 717 vs 112 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.55/Bartosz 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 21:40K. Zapala65825129113B. Bartosz591123101142
LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala47511812112B. Bartosz541191110133
WAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala351113113B. Bartosz2661190
WAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala331111113B. Bartosz238780
WJun 27 · 09:05K. Zapala4171111123B. Bartosz351195101
LJun 26 · 16:00K. Zapala4010911101B. Bartosz4212117123
WApr 23 · 17:30K. Zapala521111811113B. Bartosz4913911972
WApr 16 · 20:30K. Zapala331111113B. Bartosz195590
WApr 15 · 20:30K. Zapala551012912123B. Bartosz5312101110102
WApr 12 · 14:35K. Zapala331111113B. Bartosz124260
K. Zapala10
LSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113LSep 11 · 20:30K. Zapala2.55141261182K. Guzy1.411214117113WSep 11 · 18:30T. Stachera2.00611971K. Zapala1.7111811113WSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102LSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780WAug 20 · 19:30B. Gola1.404330B. Bartosz2.601111113
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