TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116220
Played Sep 11Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012117311––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
8111012117311––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Odelski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1592 vs Szymanski 1581
Odelski
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 40% vs Szymanski 80%
Szymanski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 50% vs Szymanski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski +1 · Szymanski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 1.83 / Szymanski 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szymanski)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13116220
Odelski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 24 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Szymanski1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 68 vs 140 / 26061.8%53.9%42 / 68 vs 140 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SzymanskiOdelski 1.83/Szymanski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Odelski10
LSep 11 · 20:00T. Stachera2.201111113P. Odelski1.578580WSep 11 · 18:00P. Odelski2.2011117113K. Guzy1.57781161LSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113WSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133LSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161
M. Szymanski10
WSep 11 · 17:00T. Stachera2.33119551M. Szymanski1.4981111113WSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113
Upcoming Matches
P. Odelski
Nothing scheduled
M. Szymanski
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