TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116193
Played Sep 11Finished
Piotr Odelski
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118711116––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
117118711116––
H2H Piotr Odelski 0–1 Karol Guzy Piotr Odelski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Guzy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Odelski 1574 vs Guzy 1743
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Odelski 20% vs Guzy 100%
Guzy
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Odelski 50% vs Guzy 90%
Guzy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Odelski -2 · Guzy +5
Guzy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOdelski 2.20 / Guzy 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Guzy)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13116193
Odelski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 15 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Guzy1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 170 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it92% 79 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOdelski0wins
AwayGuzy1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGuzy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOdelskiGuzyO − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.049.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOdelskiGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 67 vs 645 / 107261.2%60.2%41 / 67 vs 645 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.640.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyOdelski 2.20/Guzy 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Odelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 17:00P. Odelski—711131092K. Guzy—1141112113
P. Odelski10
LSep 11 · 20:00T. Stachera2.201111113P. Odelski1.578580LSep 11 · 19:00P. Odelski1.838101131M. Szymanski1.8611127113LSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113WSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133LSep 10 · 19:00A. Duch1.8011911113P. Odelski1.86311661LSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 16:00K. Zapala2.608860P. Odelski1.411111113WSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161
K. Guzy10
WSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113WSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 11 · 14:00T. Stachera2.951461471K. Guzy1.31121116113WSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101WSep 10 · 18:30K. Guzy1.361110915123K. Zapala2.809121113102WSep 10 · 17:00K. Guzy1.761141112113P. Odelski1.90711131092WSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691
Upcoming Matches
P. Odelski
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K. Guzy
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