TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122733
Played Sep 13Finished
Bilski Bartosz
Home
2.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151311116––––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
1.64
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:05 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1151311116––––
H2H Bilski Bartosz 11–16 Krzysztof Zapala Bilski Bartosz has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.64 (55%)
Zapala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartosz 1518 vs Zapala 1464
Bartosz
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartosz 80% vs Zapala 20%
Bartosz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartosz 50% vs Zapala 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartosz -1 · Zapala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartosz 2.04 / Zapala 1.64
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zapala)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13122733
Bartosz2.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Zapala1.64
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 64 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartosz4wins
AwayZapala6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartosz57.1%4 of 7
AwayZapala100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartosz7Zapala3n = 10Bartosz took 7 of 10
S2Bartosz3Zapala7n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Bartosz4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S4Bartosz2Zapala3n = 5Zapala took 3 of 5
S5Bartosz1Zapala2n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartoszZapalaB − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.5−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartoszZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 222 vs 324 / 72252.3%44.9%116 / 222 vs 324 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaBartosz 2.04/Zapala 1.64
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:35B. Bartosz351113113K. Zapala2251160
WSep 12 · 16:05B. Bartosz361112133K. Zapala27610110
LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz591123101142K. Zapala65825129113
WSep 10 · 20:30B. Bartosz541191110133K. Zapala47511812112
LAug 20 · 22:00B. Bartosz2661190K. Zapala351113113
LAug 20 · 20:30B. Bartosz238780K. Zapala331111113
LJun 27 · 09:05B. Bartosz351195101K. Zapala4171111123
WJun 26 · 16:00B. Bartosz4212117123K. Zapala4010911101
LApr 23 · 17:30B. Bartosz4913911972K. Zapala521111811113
LApr 16 · 20:30B. Bartosz195590K. Zapala331111113
B. Bartosz10
LSep 12 · 20:45B. Bartosz2.759870A. Duch1.401111113WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161
K. Zapala10
LSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:05K. Zapala2.8011614113A. Duch1.365111291LSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133LSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113LSep 11 · 20:30K. Zapala2.55141261182K. Guzy1.411214117113WSep 11 · 18:30T. Stachera2.00611971K. Zapala1.7111811113WSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133
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