TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121827
Played Sep 12Finished
Bilski Bartosz
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811711––––
Adam Duch
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911811711––––
H2H Bilski Bartosz 13–25 Adam Duch Bilski Bartosz has won 13 of their 38 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Bartosz beat Duch 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartosz 2.75 / Duch 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Duch)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13121827
Bartosz2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Duch1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 124 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartosz3wins
AwayDuch7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartosz75%3 of 4
AwayDuch100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartosz4Duch6n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S2Bartosz6Duch4n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S3Bartosz1Duch9n = 10Duch took 9 of 10
S4Bartosz5Duch3n = 8Bartosz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartoszDuchB − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.942.1−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartoszDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 220 vs 451 / 75952.3%59.4%115 / 220 vs 451 / 759Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchBartosz 2.75/Duch 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 17:35B. Bartosz48121110153A. Duch4310812131
LSep 10 · 18:00B. Bartosz225980A. Duch331111113
LApr 23 · 22:00B. Bartosz378126111A. Duch45111011133
LApr 23 · 21:00B. Bartosz2678110A. Duch351111133
WApr 11 · 22:35B. Bartosz43111011113A. Duch33812941
LApr 11 · 20:05B. Bartosz397139101A. Duch45111111123
WMar 30 · 22:40B. Bartosz4211117133A. Duch387911111
LMar 30 · 19:30B. Bartosz35913851A. Duch44111111113
LMar 29 · 14:05B. Bartosz481151011112A. Duch50711127133
LMar 29 · 11:35B. Bartosz4981271482A. Duch5511101112113
B. Bartosz10
WSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172
A. Duch10
LSep 12 · 18:05K. Zapala2.8011614113A. Duch1.365111291LSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113WSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113WSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113LSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113LSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123WSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980
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