TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121238
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101281112101315––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
101281112101315––
H2H Adam Duch 25–12 Bilski Bartosz Bilski Bartosz has won 12 of their 37 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.38 / Bartosz 2.85
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Duch)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13121238
Duch1.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 124 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 112
Bartosz2.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch8wins
AwayBartosz2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch100%6 of 6
AwayBartosz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch6Bartosz4n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S2Duch5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S3Duch9Bartosz1n = 10Duch took 9 of 10
S4Duch4Bartosz4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchBartoszD − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.5+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 758 vs 113 / 21859.5%51.8%451 / 758 vs 113 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.38/Bartosz 2.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.6%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch331111113B. Bartosz225980
WApr 23 · 22:00A. Duch45111011133B. Bartosz378126111
WApr 23 · 21:00A. Duch351111133B. Bartosz2678110
LApr 11 · 22:35A. Duch33812941B. Bartosz43111011113
WApr 11 · 20:05A. Duch45111111123B. Bartosz397139101
LMar 30 · 22:40A. Duch387911111B. Bartosz4211117133
WMar 30 · 19:30A. Duch44111111113B. Bartosz35913851
WMar 29 · 14:05A. Duch50711127133B. Bartosz481151011112
WMar 29 · 11:35A. Duch5511101112113B. Bartosz4981271482
WMar 28 · 16:00A. Duch4071111113B. Bartosz34118871
A. Duch10
WSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113WSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113WSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113LSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113LSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123WSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113LSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163LSep 10 · 20:00K. Guzy1.8311614123A. Duch1.8691112101
B. Bartosz10
WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190LAug 20 · 20:30K. Zapala1.451111113B. Bartosz2.438780
Upcoming Matches
A. Duch
B. Bartosz
Nothing scheduled
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