TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121336
Played Sep 12Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1156111412119––
Adam Duch
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1156111412119––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 31–52 Adam Duch Krzysztof Zapala has won 31 of their 83 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.80 / Duch 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 71%
Edge (Duch)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13121336
Zapala2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 86 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back23% 24 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 58
Duch1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 124 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala4wins
AwayDuch6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala28.6%2 of 7
AwayDuch33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala7Duch3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S2Zapala4Duch6n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S3Zapala4Duch6n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S4Zapala3Duch5n = 8Duch took 5 of 8
S5Zapala1Duch2n = 3Duch took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaDuchZ − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.940.1−1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 719 vs 451 / 75844.9%59.5%323 / 719 vs 451 / 758Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchZapala 2.80/Duch 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.5%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala32118581A. Duch4071111113
WSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala4111115143A. Duch376811121
LSep 10 · 16:30K. Zapala48118511132A. Duch50711116153
LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala361610281A. Duch48141211113
LSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala4711914852A. Duch527111211113
WAug 8 · 06:35K. Zapala331111113A. Duch237880
LAug 7 · 22:30K. Zapala3912116101A. Duch46101311123
WAug 7 · 16:00K. Zapala47911115113A. Duch3911951132
WAug 6 · 17:30K. Zapala3741111113A. Duch30118561
LAug 5 · 16:00K. Zapala29811100A. Duch361113123
K. Zapala10
LSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133LSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113LSep 11 · 20:30K. Zapala2.55141261182K. Guzy1.411214117113WSep 11 · 18:30T. Stachera2.00611971K. Zapala1.7111811113WSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 16:30P. Odelski1.508970K. Zapala2.401111113LSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113WSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113LSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133
A. Duch10
LSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113WSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:00K. Zapala2.45118581A. Duch1.5071111113WSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113LSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113LSep 11 · 17:30K. Zapala2.3911115143A. Duch1.476811121WSep 11 · 15:00T. Stachera2.951199101A. Duch1.3691111123WSep 11 · 14:30P. Odelski2.10119881A. Duch1.6091111113LSep 10 · 22:10A. Duch1.57681111142P. Odelski2.30111167163
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