TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121518
Played Sep 12Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111412911911––
Bilski Bartosz
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeBilski Bartosz to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
6111412911911––
H2H Karol Guzy 9–14 Bilski Bartosz Karol Guzy has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:18What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Guzy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Bartosz
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1713 vs Bartosz 1496
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Bartosz 80%
Bartosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Bartosz 40%
Guzy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy -1 · Bartosz +3
Bartosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartosz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.70 / Bartosz 2.05
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guzy)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13121518
Guzy1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 175 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it83% 137 of 166
Bartosz2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy5wins
AwayBartosz5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy71.4%5 of 7
AwayBartosz100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy7Bartosz3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S2Guzy4Bartosz6n = 10Bartosz took 6 of 10
S3Guzy5Bartosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Guzy0Bartosz7n = 7Bartosz took 7 of 7
S5Guzy3Bartosz0n = 3Guzy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyBartoszG − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.037.00.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyBartoszBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1079 vs 114 / 21960.2%52.1%649 / 1079 vs 114 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.70/Bartosz 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy511113115113B. Bartosz4591531172
WJun 27 · 08:05K. Guzy381111163B. Bartosz2785140
LJun 26 · 17:00K. Guzy34911771B. Bartosz4111811113
LMay 20 · 18:00K. Guzy247980B. Bartosz331111113
WApr 29 · 14:00K. Guzy46119114113B. Bartosz3641141162
LApr 23 · 19:30K. Guzy357711101B. Bartosz3711113123
WApr 16 · 21:30K. Guzy331111113B. Bartosz184860
LApr 16 · 18:00K. Guzy321171041B. Bartosz4171112113
LApr 15 · 18:00K. Guzy311163111B. Bartosz4381111133
WApr 12 · 07:35K. Guzy46131174113B. Bartosz49119111172
K. Guzy10
LSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870WSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070WSep 11 · 20:30K. Zapala2.55141261182K. Guzy1.411214117113WSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113LSep 11 · 18:00P. Odelski2.2011117113K. Guzy1.57781161WSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 11 · 14:00T. Stachera2.951461471K. Guzy1.31121116113WSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172
B. Bartosz10
WSep 12 · 17:35A. Duch1.3810812131B. Bartosz2.85121110153WSep 12 · 16:05K. Zapala1.55610110B. Bartosz2.301112133WSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 10 · 21:40B. Bartosz2.401123101142K. Zapala1.51825129113WSep 10 · 20:30K. Zapala1.87511812112B. Bartosz1.831191110133LSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192LSep 10 · 18:00A. Duch1.311111113B. Bartosz3.005980LSep 10 · 15:30P. Odelski1.5211115113B. Bartosz2.27811161LSep 10 · 14:00K. Guzy1.511113115113B. Bartosz2.2991531172LAug 20 · 22:00K. Zapala—1113113B. Bartosz—61190
Upcoming Matches
K. Guzy1 of 1 neutral
B. Bartosz
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.