TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121757
Played Sep 13Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111311115––
Karol Guzy
Away
2.01
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1198111311115––
H2H Damian Bucko 40–32 Karol Guzy Karol Guzy has won 32 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Bucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-32 in 72
Bucko
Correct
gap of 8 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1601 vs Guzy 1661
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 60% vs Guzy 20%
Bucko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 60% vs Guzy 40%
Bucko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -1 · Guzy -4
Guzy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.66 / Guzy 2.01
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bucko)-0.8pp
TT Cup · #13121757
Bucko1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 35 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 26 of 35
Guzy2.01
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog53% won 57 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back38% 18 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back22% 5 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko3wins
AwayGuzy7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko33.3%1 of 3
AwayGuzy71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko3Guzy7n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S2Bucko5Guzy5n = 10split evenly
S3Bucko8Guzy2n = 10Bucko took 8 of 10
S4Bucko3Guzy6n = 9Guzy took 6 of 9
S5Bucko1Guzy4n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoGuzyB − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.4−1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 604 vs 649 / 108255.3%60%334 / 604 vs 649 / 1082Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.66/Guzy 2.01
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 22:40D. Bucko4144151172K. Guzy541111138113
LSep 10 · 15:00D. Bucko4411711692K. Guzy44411711113
LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko29511941K. Guzy4011711113
WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko47911115113K. Guzy4411761192
LSep 3 · 20:00D. Bucko482101411112K. Guzy541112126133
LAug 29 · 15:05D. Bucko357111071K. Guzy3711312113
WAug 28 · 14:30D. Bucko4291111113K. Guzy26113931
WAug 27 · 20:00D. Bucko341112113K. Guzy2231090
LAug 12 · 19:30D. Bucko43119112102K. Guzy49811711123
LAug 11 · 22:30D. Bucko387911111K. Guzy4411119133
D. Bucko10
LSep 13 · 08:35B. Bartosz2.151111910113D. Bucko1.5855111272LSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 21:00P. Odelski1.82118711112D. Bucko1.88411119133WSep 10 · 19:30D. Bucko1.401111128113B. Bartosz2.6067141192WSep 10 · 17:30K. Zapala2.1091511882D. Bucko1.601113511113LSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 10 · 14:30A. Duch1.61127111172D. Bucko2.201011813113WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950
K. Guzy10
LSep 13 · 07:35K. Guzy1.706890M. Szymanski2.051111113LSep 12 · 20:15M. Szymanski2.05113117113K. Guzy1.6841161142LSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113LSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870WSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070WSep 10 · 22:40K. Guzy1.871111138113D. Bucko1.8344151172WSep 10 · 15:00K. Guzy1.87411711113D. Bucko1.8311711692WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113
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