TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13121675
Played Sep 12Finished
Mateusz Szymanski
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114311116711114
Karol Guzy
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
114311116711114
H2H Mateusz Szymanski 20–24 Karol Guzy Mateusz Szymanski has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Szymanski beat Guzy 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.05 / Guzy 1.68
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Guzy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13121675
Szymanski2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Guzy1.68
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 175 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it83% 137 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski3wins
AwayGuzy7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski50%2 of 4
AwayGuzy83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski4Guzy6n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Szymanski3Guzy7n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S3Szymanski6Guzy4n = 10Szymanski took 6 of 10
S4Szymanski4Guzy3n = 7Szymanski took 4 of 7
S5Szymanski1Guzy4n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiGuzyS − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.5−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 267 vs 649 / 108053.6%60.1%143 / 267 vs 649 / 1080Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzySzymanski 2.05/Guzy 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski331111113K. Guzy227870
LSep 11 · 22:30M. Szymanski2141070K. Guzy341112113
LSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2711970K. Guzy351311113
LSep 6 · 07:35M. Szymanski4912911892K. Guzy511011811113
LSep 5 · 15:35M. Szymanski501111121152K. Guzy49713144113
WSep 4 · 22:40M. Szymanski4181111113K. Guzy30119911
LSep 4 · 15:30M. Szymanski389111171K. Guzy4311138113
LAug 29 · 20:35M. Szymanski48812111162K. Guzy521110137113
WAug 28 · 21:00M. Szymanski47127116113K. Guzy45101181152
LAug 1 · 11:05M. Szymanski44751111102K. Guzy44111173123
M. Szymanski10
WSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870LSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113LSep 12 · 15:05M. Szymanski1.48155661B. Bartosz2.36131111113LSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070LSep 11 · 21:00M. Szymanski1.8741311582A. Duch1.831111311113WSep 11 · 19:00P. Odelski1.838101131M. Szymanski1.8611127113WSep 11 · 17:00T. Stachera2.33119551M. Szymanski1.4981111113WSep 11 · 16:00K. Zapala2.40138781M. Szymanski1.50111111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113
K. Guzy10
LSep 12 · 19:35K. Guzy1.70614991B. Bartosz2.05111211113LSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870WSep 12 · 17:05K. Zapala2.00118912102K. Guzy1.727111110123LSep 12 · 15:35A. Duch1.831111113K. Guzy1.809650WSep 11 · 22:30K. Guzy1.831112113M. Szymanski1.8741070WSep 11 · 20:30K. Zapala2.55141261182K. Guzy1.411214117113WSep 11 · 19:30A. Duch1.864480K. Guzy1.781111113LSep 11 · 18:00P. Odelski2.2011117113K. Guzy1.57781161WSep 11 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.2011970K. Guzy1.581311113WSep 11 · 14:00T. Stachera2.951461471K. Guzy1.31121116113
Upcoming Matches
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K. Guzy
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