TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122568
Played Sep 13Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711811––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 72.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 75–145 Yevhen Masko Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 75 of their 220 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-145 in 220
Masko
Correct
gap of 70 in 220, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1611 vs Masko 1654
Masko
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 20% vs Masko 40%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 30% vs Masko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -3 · Masko +2
Pismenniy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 3.25 / Masko 1.33
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122568
Pismenniy3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 63 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Masko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 139 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 113 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy2wins
AwayMasko8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMasko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy2Masko8n = 10Masko took 8 of 10
S2Pismenniy3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Pismenniy3Masko7n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S4Pismenniy5Masko3n = 8Pismenniy took 5 of 8
S5Pismenniy2Masko3n = 5Masko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyMaskoP − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.444.6−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 716 vs 431 / 75630%57%215 / 716 vs 431 / 756Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoPismenniy 3.25/Masko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy41101151142Y. Masko51129118113
LSep 5 · 13:55E. Pismenniy391013971Y. Masko44121111103
LSep 5 · 01:25E. Pismenniy30571171Y. Masko4111118113
WAug 29 · 19:55E. Pismenniy55911618113Y. Masko52115111692
LAug 29 · 02:55E. Pismenniy2781090Y. Masko341112113
WAug 23 · 16:55E. Pismenniy541171111143Y. Masko50711137122
LAug 22 · 14:55E. Pismenniy46591111102Y. Masko47111158123
LAug 21 · 23:25E. Pismenniy29114861Y. Masko4181111113
LAug 15 · 17:55E. Pismenniy43107111142Y. Masko49121196113
LAug 14 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3089130Y. Masko371111153
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 13 · 15:55V. Melnik1.50531111113E. Pismenniy2.5011118792LSep 13 · 14:25E. Pismenniy6.00101340A. Tuzhylin1.11121583LSep 12 · 19:25E. Pismenniy2.63711911112V. Melnik1.44115119133WSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:25E. Pismenniy2.6311711372R. Cherevko1.44811911113LSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572WSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691LSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981
Y. Masko10
WSep 13 · 14:55R. Reznychenko3.25670Y. Masko1.3311112WSep 13 · 13:55V. Melnik1.6511991192Y. Masko2.05711118113LSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113LSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.