TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116940
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111141012611––
Roman Reznychenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Roman Reznychenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 73.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 175–53 Roman Reznychenko Roman Reznychenko has won 53 of their 228 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
175-53 in 228
Masko
Wrong
gap of 122 in 228, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1621 vs Reznychenko 1613
Masko
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 20% vs Reznychenko 60%
Reznychenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 40% vs Reznychenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -2 · Reznychenko +3
Reznychenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reznychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.30 / Reznychenko 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Masko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116940
Masko1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 140 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 113 of 125
Reznychenko3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 95 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back13% 22 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko6wins
AwayReznychenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%5 of 5
AwayReznychenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko5Reznychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Masko4Reznychenko6n = 10Reznychenko took 6 of 10
S3Masko6Reznychenko4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Masko3Reznychenko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoReznychenkoM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.8+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoReznychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 754 vs 239 / 72756.9%32.9%429 / 754 vs 239 / 727Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.333.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.30/Reznychenko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Reznychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko331111113R. Reznychenko248970
WSep 5 · 15:55Y. Masko381161383R. Reznychenko325111151
LSep 4 · 23:25Y. Masko31871151R. Reznychenko4011117113
WAug 29 · 15:25Y. Masko331111113R. Reznychenko217680
LAug 29 · 01:25Y. Masko2451180R. Reznychenko351113113
LAug 23 · 18:55Y. Masko381081191R. Reznychenko4112117113
WAug 22 · 13:25Y. Masko531111911113R. Reznychenko4338111382
WAug 22 · 04:25Y. Masko4111811113R. Reznychenko32911841
LAug 15 · 13:25Y. Masko28711100R. Reznychenko361113123
WAug 15 · 04:25Y. Masko5714111011113R. Reznychenko5416912892
Y. Masko10
LSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113
R. Reznychenko10
WSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3391161182R. Reznychenko3.25119119113WSep 12 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.6180R. Reznychenko2.20111LSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572LSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691WSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121LSep 12 · 24:55V. Melnik1.3311117113R. Reznychenko3.25571151LSep 11 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.1091111113R. Reznychenko6.50115791LSep 11 · 21:55R. Cherevko1.5710121111113R. Reznychenko2.2512146982LSep 6 · 19:55E. Pismenniy1.671111113R. Reznychenko2.107950
Upcoming Matches
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R. Reznychenko
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