TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122095
Played Sep 13Finished
Evgeniy Pismenniy
Home
6.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012131548––––
Alexander Tuzhylin
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 88.6% is still 88.6%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
88.6%
88.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvgeniy Pismenniy above · Alexander Tuzhylin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 4-8
Point 62 set 3, 4-8 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 88.6%
62 points played in total.
H2H Evgeniy Pismenniy 18–190 Alexander Tuzhylin Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 18 of their 208 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Tuzhylin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-190 in 208
Tuzhylin
Correct
gap of 172 in 208, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pismenniy 1635 vs Tuzhylin 1840
Tuzhylin
Correct
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pismenniy 40% vs Tuzhylin 80%
Tuzhylin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pismenniy 40% vs Tuzhylin 70%
Tuzhylin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pismenniy -1 · Tuzhylin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuzhylin form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPismenniy 6.00 / Tuzhylin 1.11
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.2pp
Setka Cup · #13122095
Pismenniy6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 63 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back8% 12 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Tuzhylin1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 200 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it98% 126 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it89% 148 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePismenniy0wins
AwayTuzhylin10wins
Tuzhylin leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePismenniyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTuzhylin100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pismenniy2Tuzhylin8n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S2Pismenniy1Tuzhylin9n = 10Tuzhylin took 9 of 10
S3Pismenniy2Tuzhylin8n = 10Tuzhylin took 8 of 10
S4Pismenniy0Tuzhylin5n = 5Tuzhylin took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPismenniyTuzhylinP − TBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.638.1−8.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPismenniyTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 714 vs 503 / 66230.1%76%215 / 714 vs 503 / 662Avg sets wonper match1.62.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinPismenniy 6.00/Tuzhylin 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.6%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuzhylin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 24:25E. Pismenniy381110981A. Tuzhylin4391211113
LSep 5 · 14:55E. Pismenniy2681080A. Tuzhylin341112113
LSep 5 · 03:25E. Pismenniy2510870A. Tuzhylin341211113
LAug 29 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2612680A. Tuzhylin361411113
LAug 29 · 04:25E. Pismenniy3813105101A. Tuzhylin46111211123
LAug 21 · 21:25E. Pismenniy341111751A. Tuzhylin4313811113
LAug 15 · 16:55E. Pismenniy30841171A. Tuzhylin3811115113
LAug 14 · 21:25E. Pismenniy369101161A. Tuzhylin4111127113
LAug 9 · 14:55E. Pismenniy227780A. Tuzhylin331111113
LAug 8 · 16:55E. Pismenniy217860A. Tuzhylin331111113
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 12 · 19:25E. Pismenniy2.63711911112V. Melnik1.44115119133WSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:25E. Pismenniy2.6311711372R. Cherevko1.44811911113LSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572WSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691LSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981LSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 22:25V. Melnik1.44134111142E. Pismenniy2.63151159113
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 12 · 20:25R. Cherevko3.259880A. Tuzhylin1.331111113LSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 14:55E. Pismenniy6.0090A. Tuzhylin1.11101WSep 12 · 13:55V. Melnik2.106720A. Tuzhylin1.67111153LSep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40910100R. Cherevko2.751112123WSep 12 · 01:55A. Tuzhylin1.57101311143V. Melnik2.2512117121WSep 12 · 24:25A. Tuzhylin1.1191211113E. Pismenniy6.001110981WSep 11 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.1091111113R. Reznychenko6.50115791LSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113
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