TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122188
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Reznychenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
611711––––––
Yevhen Masko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Yevhen Masko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Point 35 set 2, 7-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 73.3%
35 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 53–175 Yevhen Masko Roman Reznychenko has won 53 of their 228 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-175 in 228
Masko
Correct
gap of 122 in 228, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1595 vs Masko 1635
Masko
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 80% vs Masko 40%
Reznychenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 50% vs Masko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -1 · Masko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 3.25 / Masko 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Masko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122188
Reznychenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 97 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 120
Masko1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 139 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 113 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko4wins
AwayMasko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko80%4 of 5
AwayMasko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko5Masko5n = 10split evenly
S2Reznychenko6Masko4n = 10Reznychenko took 6 of 10
S3Reznychenko4Masko6n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S4Reznychenko3Masko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoMaskoR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.837.6−1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoMaskoBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 728 vs 430 / 75532.8%57%239 / 728 vs 430 / 755Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoReznychenko 3.25/Masko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:25R. Reznychenko248970Y. Masko331111113
LSep 5 · 15:55R. Reznychenko325111151Y. Masko381161383
WSep 4 · 23:25R. Reznychenko4011117113Y. Masko31871151
LAug 29 · 15:25R. Reznychenko217680Y. Masko331111113
WAug 29 · 01:25R. Reznychenko351113113Y. Masko2451180
WAug 23 · 18:55R. Reznychenko4112117113Y. Masko381081191
LAug 22 · 13:25R. Reznychenko4338111382Y. Masko531111911113
LAug 22 · 04:25R. Reznychenko32911841Y. Masko4111811113
WAug 15 · 13:25R. Reznychenko361113123Y. Masko28711100
LAug 15 · 04:25R. Reznychenko5416912892Y. Masko5714111011113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 13 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.38471581R. Cherevko1.53111113113WSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113WSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3391161182R. Reznychenko3.25119119113WSep 12 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.6180R. Reznychenko2.20111LSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572LSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691WSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121LSep 12 · 24:55V. Melnik1.3311117113R. Reznychenko3.25571151LSep 11 · 22:55A. Tuzhylin1.1091111113R. Reznychenko6.50115791
Y. Masko10
WSep 13 · 13:55V. Melnik1.6511991192Y. Masko2.05711118113LSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113LSep 12 · 17:55E. Pismenniy2.6311127123Y. Masko1.4441011101LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko3.007860A. Tuzhylin1.361111113WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 14:25Y. Masko1.671113971R. Cherevko2.10131111113LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113
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