TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121806
Played Sep 13Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113115119––––
Anton Shypilov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeAnton Shypilov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 50 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Anton Shypilov at 56.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 16–18 Anton Shypilov Vitalii Boyko has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Shypilov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Shypilov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1468 vs Shypilov 1534
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 0% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 40% vs Shypilov 60%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -5 · Shypilov -2
Boyko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Shypilov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boyko form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.10 / Shypilov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Shypilov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121806
Boyko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Shypilov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 14 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko2wins
AwayShypilov8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoykon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShypilov87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko2Shypilov8n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S2Boyko4Shypilov6n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Boyko2Shypilov8n = 10Shypilov took 8 of 10
S4Boyko4Shypilov4n = 8split evenly
S5Boyko2Shypilov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoShypilovB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.843.9−5.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 482 vs 365 / 79745.6%45.8%220 / 482 vs 365 / 797Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShypilovBoyko 2.10/Shypilov 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Shypilov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko3961251152A. Shypilov501110117113
WSep 11 · 22:30V. Boyko49771111133A. Shypilov44111156112
LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2511770A. Shypilov351311113
LAug 21 · 23:30V. Boyko409121181A. Shypilov4511149113
LAug 16 · 10:35V. Boyko2315350A. Shypilov391711113
LAug 15 · 18:35V. Boyko311131071A. Shypilov4171112113
LJun 21 · 06:05V. Boyko51121191182A. Shypilov46144116113
WJun 20 · 18:05V. Boyko52119912113A. Shypilov50911111092
LJun 6 · 02:30V. Boyko389115131A. Shypilov4511811153
LMay 10 · 05:05V. Boyko40913991A. Shypilov44111111113
V. Boyko10
LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko1.671110791V. Vlasenko2.1071211113LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko2.101012611112S. Kalenyk1.671210114133LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642LSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113WSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 13 · 08:05A. Shypilov2.108930S. Kalenyk1.671111113LSep 13 · 07:05O. Napirko1.809101112113A. Shypilov1.91111261092WSep 13 · 05:35A. Shypilov1.91811117113V. Vlasenko1.8011671182WSep 12 · 18:35A. Shypilov2.001112113M. Smyrnov1.7371050WSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113LSep 12 · 15:35A. Shypilov2.106580S. Kalenyk1.671111113WSep 12 · 14:35O. Mitla1.839101141A. Shypilov1.8311129113WSep 12 · 13:05A. Shypilov2.001111123O. Napirko1.7336100LSep 12 · 02:00V. Vlasenko1.67811118113A. Shypilov2.1011971152WSep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00111113113S. Kalenyk1.73581551
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