TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121999
Played Sep 13Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171012711911––
Valerii Vlasenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeVitalii Boyko to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Boyko at 57.4%
78 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 66–28 Valerii Vlasenko Valerii Vlasenko has won 28 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Boyko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-28 in 94
Boyko
Wrong
gap of 38 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1468 vs Vlasenko 1526
Vlasenko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 20% vs Vlasenko 60%
Vlasenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 40% vs Vlasenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -4 · Vlasenko +1
Boyko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Boyko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 1.67 / Vlasenko 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Boyko)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13121999
Boyko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Vlasenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 121 of 300
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko7wins
AwayVlasenko3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko60%3 of 5
AwayVlasenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Boyko5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Boyko4Vlasenko6n = 10Vlasenko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko6Vlasenko4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S5Boyko5Vlasenko1n = 6Boyko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoVlasenkoB − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.342.9+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 482 vs 409 / 93445.6%43.8%220 / 482 vs 409 / 934Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoykoBoyko 1.67/Vlasenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.2%
Boyko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 07:35V. Boyko371110791V. Vlasenko4171211113
WSep 12 · 24:30V. Boyko521111811113V. Vlasenko4571311682
WAug 22 · 24:30V. Boyko4516117113V. Vlasenko301431121
LAug 16 · 09:05V. Boyko341111751V. Vlasenko4113611113
LAug 15 · 14:35V. Boyko4911913882V. Vlasenko495111111113
WAug 2 · 09:05V. Boyko505111211113V. Vlasenko4711614882
WJun 20 · 24:30V. Boyko4291111113V. Vlasenko30119551
WJun 5 · 22:30V. Boyko39112411113V. Vlasenko4051111582
WMay 31 · 09:35V. Boyko521411115113V. Vlasenko4816871162
WMay 30 · 16:35V. Boyko53922011113V. Vlasenko58111118992
V. Boyko10
LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko2.101012611112S. Kalenyk1.671210114133LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642LSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113WSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2.2061250O. Hura1.611114113
V. Vlasenko10
WSep 13 · 06:35V. Vlasenko1.8011119113O. Mitla1.91551161LSep 13 · 05:35A. Shypilov1.91811117113V. Vlasenko1.8011671182WSep 12 · 02:00V. Vlasenko1.67811118113A. Shypilov2.1011971152LSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113WSep 11 · 23:00V. Vlasenko1.801111133S. Kalenyk1.9189110LSep 11 · 21:30V. Vlasenko2.0071080O. Hura1.731112113LSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov1.83101111123V. Vlasenko1.831249101WSep 10 · 01:15V. Vlasenko1.73118714123S. Kalenyk2.006111112102WSep 10 · 24:15V. Vlasenko1.801211713113O. Mitla1.91109111582
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