TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118642
Played Sep 12Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211511711––––
Oleksii Mitla
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:23 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVitalii Boyko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 47 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Boyko at 58.1%
47 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 21–12 Oleksii Mitla Oleksii Mitla has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:23What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Boyko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-12 in 33
Boyko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1548 vs Mitla 1413
Boyko
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 60% vs Mitla 20%
Boyko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 60% vs Mitla 30%
Boyko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -1 · Mitla -4
Mitla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Boyko) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mitla form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 1.57 / Mitla 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Boyko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13118642
Boyko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 44 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Mitla2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 165 of 387
Down 0–1, comes back27% 63 of 233
Down 0–2, comes back11% 15 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko7wins
AwayMitla3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMitla50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko6Mitla4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S2Boyko6Mitla4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S3Boyko6Mitla4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko4Mitla2n = 6Boyko took 4 of 6
S5Boyko2Mitla1n = 3Boyko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoMitlaB − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.6+4.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 478 vs 336 / 77446%43.4%220 / 478 vs 336 / 774Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoykoBoyko 1.57/Mitla 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Boyko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mitla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko204790O. Mitla331111113
WAug 23 · 09:35V. Boyko47111168113O. Mitla3856111152
WAug 22 · 18:05V. Boyko44111111113O. Mitla36913681
WAug 1 · 14:05V. Boyko351113113O. Mitla2791170
LAug 1 · 03:00V. Boyko40610111122O. Mitla43111245113
WJun 28 · 10:35V. Boyko331111113O. Mitla198560
LJun 27 · 15:05V. Boyko29137361O. Mitla44111111113
WMay 31 · 08:35V. Boyko331111113O. Mitla155370
WMay 30 · 12:05V. Boyko548111211123O. Mitla45116144102
WMay 30 · 02:30V. Boyko4291111113O. Mitla36117991
V. Boyko10
LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642LSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113WSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2.2061250O. Hura1.611114113WSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko1.80621181S. Kalenyk1.9111116113WAug 23 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.36101111532V. Boyko3.00125811113
O. Mitla10
LSep 12 · 17:05O. Mitla3.2510750O. Napirko1.33121163LSep 12 · 16:05O. Mitla1.8311101481M. Smyrnov1.8351216113LSep 12 · 14:35O. Mitla1.839101141A. Shypilov1.8311129113LSep 12 · 12:35O. Mitla2.2061330S. Kalenyk1.61111583WSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 01:30O. Hura1.6711611113O. Mitla2.10411781WSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov1.83116911112O. Mitla1.83511117133LSep 11 · 22:00S. Kalenyk1.57111312113O. Mitla2.255111461WSep 11 · 20:00V. Vlasenko1.8311991272O. Mitla1.837111110113LSep 10 · 02:45M. Smyrnov1.731111163O. Mitla2.0055140
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