TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121895
Played Sep 13Finished
Vitalii Boyko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101212106111141113
Serhii Kalenyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kalenyk to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Serhii Kalenyk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 100 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Serhii Kalenyk at 54.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 10–14 Serhii Kalenyk Vitalii Boyko has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kalenyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Kalenyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1478 vs Kalenyk 1550
Kalenyk
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 40% vs Kalenyk 60%
Kalenyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 50% vs Kalenyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -3 · Kalenyk +1
Boyko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kalenyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.10 / Kalenyk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kalenyk)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13121895
Boyko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Kalenyk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 113 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it70% 85 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko6wins
AwayKalenyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBoyko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko100%3 of 3
AwayKalenyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko3Kalenyk7n = 10Kalenyk took 7 of 10
S2Boyko7Kalenyk3n = 10Boyko took 7 of 10
S3Boyko6Kalenyk4n = 10Boyko took 6 of 10
S4Boyko4Kalenyk3n = 7Boyko took 4 of 7
S5Boyko2Kalenyk1n = 3Boyko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoKalenykB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.636.4+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoKalenykBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 481 vs 351 / 74245.7%47.3%220 / 481 vs 351 / 742Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KalenykBoyko 2.10/Kalenyk 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kalenyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kalenyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:05V. Boyko501012611112S. Kalenyk501210114133
WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko4598111343S. Kalenyk40111151122
LSep 11 · 21:00V. Boyko27621181S. Kalenyk3911116113
WAug 16 · 06:05V. Boyko371214113S. Kalenyk31101290
WAug 15 · 16:35V. Boyko43101111113S. Kalenyk31125771
LJun 28 · 04:35V. Boyko335111071S. Kalenyk4211812113
WJun 6 · 18:05V. Boyko331111113S. Kalenyk154560
LMay 9 · 12:05V. Boyko143470S. Kalenyk331111113
WMay 9 · 02:30V. Boyko46111164143S. Kalenyk51891111122
WMay 1 · 23:30V. Boyko3851111113S. Kalenyk32114891
V. Boyko10
LSep 13 · 04:35V. Boyko1.73851111102O. Mitla2.00111188123LSep 12 · 18:05V. Boyko1.572570O. Mitla2.251111113LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko2.1061251152A. Shypilov1.671110117113WSep 12 · 15:05V. Boyko2.101111811113O. Napirko1.6751311892WSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:05V. Boyko1.671071111113M. Smyrnov2.1012117642LSep 12 · 02:30V. Boyko1.574790O. Mitla2.251111113WSep 12 · 24:30V. Vlasenko2.2071311682V. Boyko1.611111811113LSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2.2061250O. Hura1.611114113WSep 11 · 22:30A. Shypilov1.61111156112V. Boyko2.20771111133
S. Kalenyk10
WSep 13 · 05:05O. Napirko1.73711341S. Kalenyk2.0011511113LSep 12 · 19:05O. Napirko1.911111113S. Kalenyk1.809870WSep 12 · 17:35S. Kalenyk2.201111113M. Smyrnov1.619550WSep 12 · 15:35A. Shypilov2.106580S. Kalenyk1.671111113LSep 12 · 13:35V. Boyko1.9198111343S. Kalenyk1.80111151122WSep 12 · 12:35O. Mitla2.2061330S. Kalenyk1.61111583LSep 12 · 03:00S. Kalenyk1.67117691O. Hura2.1041111113LSep 12 · 01:00A. Shypilov2.00111113113S. Kalenyk1.73581551LSep 11 · 23:00V. Vlasenko1.801111133S. Kalenyk1.9189110WSep 11 · 22:00S. Kalenyk1.57111312113O. Mitla2.255111461
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